496
FGUS55 KSTR 161522
RVFSJB

RIVER FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
COLORADO BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER SALT LAKE CITY UT
0921 MDT Thu Oct 16, 2025

FORECASTS BASED ON LATEST 7 DAY QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
FORECASTS BASED ON LATEST 10 DAY TEMPERATURE FORECAST



*** GJT HSA

R I V E R   S T A G E   F O R E C A S T S
                           Flood |   Last Observed  |   Forecast Peak
                           Stage | Stage  Flow  Time| Stage  Flow  Date/Time
                             ft  |   ft    cfs   hh |   ft    cfs  mmdd/hh
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PSPC2:SAN JUAN - PAGOSA SP: 10.5 | 8.25   2350   14z | 8.05   2178  1016/18z
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
c = calculated by RFC hydrologic model - recent observed data available
e = estimated by RFC hydrologic model - no recent observed data available


Six Hourly Forecast Stage & Peak (feet)
Beginning 10/16 18z:

SAN JUAN - PAGOSA SPRINGS
.ER PSPC2 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  8.05 / 7.72 / 7.44 / 7.18 / 6.92 / 6.68 / 6.46 / 6.26 / 6.06 / 5.90 /
.E2  5.86 / 5.80 / 5.72 / 5.68 / 5.65 / 5.61 / 5.55 / 5.52 / 5.48 / 5.45 /
.AR PSPC2 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFZXZ  8.05
.ER PSPC2 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  8.05 / 7.72 / 7.44 / 7.18 / 6.92 / 6.68 / 6.46 / 6.26 / 6.06 / 5.90 /
.E2  5.86 / 5.80 / 5.72 / 5.68 / 5.65 / 5.61 / 5.55 / 5.52 / 5.48 / 5.45 /
.AR PSPC2 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFEXZ  8.05



*** ABQ HSA

R I V E R   S T A G E   F O R E C A S T S
                           Flood |   Last Observed  |   Forecast Peak
                           Stage | Stage  Flow  Time| Stage  Flow  Date/Time
                             ft  |   ft    cfs   hh |   ft    cfs  mmdd/hh
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARFN5:ANIMAS - FARMINGTON : 10.0 | 7.87   3930   14z | 7.73   3701  1016/18z
FRMN5:SAN JUAN - FARMINGTO:  8.5 | 5.34e  4580e  12z | 5.11   4206  1016/18z
SHRN5:SAN JUAN - SHIPROCK : 15.5 |11.75   5560   14z |11.36   4972  1016/18z
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
c = calculated by RFC hydrologic model - recent observed data available
e = estimated by RFC hydrologic model - no recent observed data available


Six Hourly Forecast Stage & Peak (feet)
Beginning 10/16 18z:

ANIMAS - FARMINGTON
.ER ARFN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  7.73 / 7.55 / 7.31 / 7.07 / 6.86 / 6.68 / 6.52 / 6.38 / 6.26 / 6.13 /
.E2  6.02 / 5.91 / 5.82 / 5.77 / 5.74 / 5.72 / 5.72 / 5.75 / 5.75 / 5.74 /
.AR ARFN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFZXZ  7.73
.ER ARFN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  7.73 / 7.55 / 7.31 / 7.07 / 6.86 / 6.68 / 6.52 / 6.38 / 6.26 / 6.13 /
.E2  6.02 / 5.91 / 5.82 / 5.77 / 5.74 / 5.72 / 5.72 / 5.75 / 5.75 / 5.74 /
.AR ARFN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFEXZ  7.73
SAN JUAN - FARMINGTON
.ER FRMN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1  5.11 / 4.89 / 4.64 / 4.38 / 4.16 / 3.98 / 3.82 / 3.68 / 3.55 / 3.42 /
.E2  3.31 / 3.20 / 3.11 / 3.04 / 3.02 / 3.00 / 2.99 / 3.01 / 3.02 / 3.01 /
.AR FRMN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFZXZ  5.11
.ER FRMN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1  5.11 / 4.89 / 4.64 / 4.38 / 4.16 / 3.98 / 3.82 / 3.68 / 3.55 / 3.42 /
.E2  3.31 / 3.20 / 3.11 / 3.04 / 3.02 / 3.00 / 2.99 / 3.01 / 3.02 / 3.01 /
.AR FRMN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFEXZ  5.11
SAN JUAN - SHIPROCK
.ER SHRN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFZ/DIH+06/
.E1 11.36 /11.03 /10.76 /10.48 /10.19 / 9.94 / 9.73 / 9.54 / 9.37 / 9.22 /
.E2  9.08 / 8.95 / 8.83 / 8.72 / 8.64 / 8.60 / 8.56 / 8.54 / 8.54 / 8.55 /
.AR SHRN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFZXZ 11.36
.ER SHRN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFE/DIH+06/
.E1 11.36 /11.03 /10.76 /10.48 /10.19 / 9.94 / 9.73 / 9.54 / 9.37 / 9.22 /
.E2  9.08 / 8.95 / 8.83 / 8.72 / 8.64 / 8.60 / 8.56 / 8.54 / 8.54 / 8.55 /
.AR SHRN5 20251016 Z DH18/DC202510161520/HGIFEXZ 11.36



**NOTE: The forecasts that are SHEF encoded with the `FE` type-source will
        overwrite forecasts from the SLCRVFMCT product


$$