057
FXUS64 KSJT 021122
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
622 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Additional showers and a few thunderstorms expected today
  through this weekend. Localized flooding is possible, primarily
  across the northwest Hill Country through tonight.

- Below normal temperatures expected through the weekend, with a
  slow warming trend next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Cooler temperatures and breezy northerly winds will settle across
the area in the wake of the cold front today, with showers and
thunderstorms redeveloping across much of the area today and
tonight. While widespread flooding is not anticipated, additional
rainfall over areas that received heavy rainfall yesterday could
lead to some localized flooding. The most favored area for
additional flooding concerns will be across the northwest Hill
Country, where rain totals between 4 and 7+ inches occurred
yesterday. There a Marginal to Slight Risk of excessive rainfall
across this area Today, with the Slight Risk area over portions of
the Heartland, Northern Edwards Plateau, Northwest Hill Country
through tonight. High temperatures today will be in the mid 70s to
low 80s, with overnight lows tonight dropping into the mid 50s to
mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 1222 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Saturday and
Sunday across much of the area as upper level disturbances
continue to move northeast across Texas. The highest rainfall
totals will be across the Northwest Hill Country and Heartland
with localized 1 to 2 inches possible. The flood threat looks low
at this time. Looks like going to a dry forecast next week as weak
surface high pressure builds across the area. Expect cool
temperatures this weekend with highs in the 70s, warming back into
the 80s next week. The coolest night will be Monday night with
lows in the mid to upper 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 615 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

MVFR to IFR ceilings will persist through much of this morning
across all terminals, with a brief window of VFR ceilings this
afternoon possible. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to
develop across KJCT, KBBD, and KABI this morning, with KSJT and
KSOA less likely to see shower development until tonight. Breezy
northerly winds are expected behind the cold front this morning,
with most terminals seeing gusts as high as 22 knots. By tonight,
another round of showers and MVFR to IFR conditions are possible
across all terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     79  62  75  62 /  50  70  70  10
San Angelo  81  59  75  59 /  30  60  60  20
Junction    81  61  75  61 /  40  80  40  20
Brownwood   80  61  75  61 /  60  80  70  20
Sweetwater  77  59  76  60 /  40  50  50  10
Ozona       80  59  73  59 /  20  60  50  20
Brady       78  60  72  60 /  50  80  60  30

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TP
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...TP