176
FXUS64 KSJT 271820
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
120 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered showers and storms may produce locally heavy rainfall
  across the Concho Valley, Heartland, and Northwest Hill Country
  through early evening.

- Rain chances will increase across the area Friday into the
  weekend, along with cooler temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025

Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms have developed from
the Concho Valley east into Heartland and Northwest Hill Country
areas. High resolution models are in good agreement that this
activity will end around or shortly after 7 PM this evening, so
will keep the dry forecast going for tonight into Thursday
morning. Lows tonight will be similar to the last few days in the
upper 60s to mid 70s.

On Thursday, a drier and hotter forecast is expected, with a
slight strengthening in the upper level ridge. At the surface,
southeasterly winds tonight will shift to the south/southwest
tomorrow morning, and increase to 10 to 20 mph. The southwesterly
component to the winds will aid in heating, resulting in warmer
temperatures tomorrow in the mid 90s to near 100 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025

On Friday, an upper level ridge will be centered across West Texas
and eastern New Mexico. Meanwhile a cold front will move south into
the Big Country Friday morning, then stall somewhere across the area
(most likely across central portions of the area). Isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible along the
front. Highs on Friday will be in the low to mid 90s across the Big
Country to the mid to upper 90s elsewhere.

Saturday into Sunday, the aforementioned upper level ridge will
shift slightly west, placing West Central Texas in northwest flow
aloft, with intermittent disturbances tracking across the region. In
addition, the remnant front should serve as a focus for shower and
thunderstorm development. This is one of those situation where rain
chances will continue through most of the weekend, but don`t expect
rain all weekend. There will likely be a couple or more rounds of
showers and thunderstorms, as shortwave energy rotates south and
east across the region. At this point, the highest rain chances will
most likely be Saturday night into Sunday morning. The main threat
with this activity will be locally heavy rainfall, which may result
in flooding. Highs on Saturday will be in the mid 80s to mid 90s.
with highs on Sunday in the low to mid 80s, well below seasonal
normals. Early next week, the better rain chances are forecast to
shift south of the area, although isolated to scattered showers are
possible, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours.
Temperatures will continue to be below seasonal normals, with highs
generally in the 80s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT Wed Aug 27 2025

Mainly VFR conditions expected across all sites through Thursday
morning, except for brief potentially MVFR conditions during some
isolated SHRA and TSRA that will affect our southern sites of
KSJT, KBBD, KSOA, and KJCT this afternoon. This activity is
expected to end by early evening tonight. Winds are expected to
remain south to southeasterly around 10 knots or less through
tomorrow morning, with a shift to the southwest by mid morning
Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     74  99  73  93 /  10  10  20  20
San Angelo  71  97  73  97 /  10   0  10  20
Junction    69  96  72  97 /  10   0   0  30
Brownwood   71  97  73  95 /  10  10  20  40
Sweetwater  73  99  73  94 /  10  10  20  20
Ozona       71  95  72  97 /  10   0   0  20
Brady       70  94  73  94 /  10  10  10  40

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....Daniels
AVIATION...20