143
FXUS64 KSJT 102342
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
642 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Scattered thunderstorms are possible through tonight. Gusty
  winds and lightning will be the main concerns. Lightning strikes
  may produce additional wildfires.

- Hot temperatures and generally dry weather expected over the
  weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 319 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

A line of scattered thunderstorms located over the I-20 corridor
(as of 3:20 PM CDT) will continue moving south through this
evening. Small hail (pea size), gusty winds (40 to 50 MPH), and
lightning are the main concerns with this activity as it moves
through. Some pockets of locally heavy rainfall are occurring at
times with very isolated totals of around an inch (1"). We will
remain under a Marginal Risk for both severe weather and excessive
rainfall that potentially leads to flood related issues for the
remainder of today.

Otherwise, conditions should improve for tonight with only a
lingering rain shower or two leftover. Overnight lows will drop
down into the lower to middle 70s. Hot and mainly dry conditions
will return for Friday with highs in the upper 90s to 102 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 319 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

High pressure starts to reinforce itself across the region
throughout this weekend. This will start the return of hot and
dry conditions once again. High temperatures near 104 degrees are
forecast across the Big Country on Saturday. Similar conditions
will continue into the early part of next week, but with slightly
cooler temperatures. Long range models continue to show a weakened
high pressure ridge by the middle to end of next week. This may
allow for cooler temperatures and a few low chances (20%) for
rain. This remains rather uncertain at this point, however.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 633 PM CDT Thu Sep 10 2026

Scattered showers and thunderstorms have developed across the
area this afternoon. Will include TEMPO groups for TS through
02Z at most of the terminals. Expect temporary reductions to
visibility and some brief gusty winds associated with convection.
Convection is expected to diminish by mid evening, with VFR
overnight into Friday. Winds will remain light for the most
part through the forecast period, although occasional gusts
between 15 and 20 knots is possible again Friday afternoon.
Cannot rule out isolated convection tomorrow afternoon across
the far southern terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     75 100  77 103 /  30  10   0   0
San Angelo  73 100  74 102 /  20  10   0   0
Junction    71  99  72 100 /  20  20   0  10
Brownwood   71  99  72 101 /  30  10   0   0
Sweetwater  75 101  77 104 /  30  10   0   0
Ozona       72  98  73  99 /  10   0  10   0
Brady       72  97  72  99 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...24