106
FXUS64 KSJT 152314
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
614 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and dry weather will persist through the weekend and into at
  least the middle of next week.

- Elevated elevated fire weather conditions this afternoon and
  again Sunday afternoon.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

High pressure aloft currently over the lower Mississippi Valley
will migrate westward into north Central Texas by tomorrow
afternoon. Thus, a hot and dry forecast will continue across the
forecast area through Sunday. A Fire Danger Statement remains in
effect for the Big Country through early evening, due to breezy
south winds, RH values in the 20s and dry vegetation. A Fire
Danger Statement will likely be needed again for portions of the
area on Sunday. Lows tonight will be in the 70s, with highs on
Sunday between 95 and 103 degrees, coolest along the I-10
corridor.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1259 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Dry and hot conditions will persist across West Central Texas
through the upcoming week. The upper high will be positioned over
north central Texas on Monday and will migrate slowly westward to
the Four Corners region by late in the week. Daytime highs through
the week will range from the mid and upper 90s along the I-10
corridor, and between 100 and 104 degrees across the Concho
Valley, Heartland and Big Country. Overnight lows will be in the
70s. By late in the week, the GFS shows a short wave moving
southeast through the central Plains, with a possible cold front
pushing through Oklahoma into north Texas. However, confidence
regarding this scenario remains quite low at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 533 PM CDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Gusty south winds will decrease to less than 12 knots this
evening. Winds at KSJT and KABI will increase to 10 to 12 knots,
with higher gusts, by mid morning Sunday. Expect winds to then
gradually decrease by early afternoon. VFR conditions will prevail
through the next 24 hours. Stratus is possible across the Hill
Country Sunday morning, but is forecast to remain south of the TAF
sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     77 101  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  73 100  72 100 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    70  97  71  99 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   73 100  72 101 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  75 102  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       71  94  71  96 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       70  98  72  98 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...Daniels