209
FXUS64 KSJT 011149
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
549 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and thunderstorms expected from Monday afternoon through
  Monday night, with the best chances east of an Abilene to Big
  Lake line. Large hail and damaging winds will be the main
  concerns.

- Drier weather for the rest of the week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 212 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

Fairly quiet weather expected for today and tonight. The main
concern will be the potential for patchy fog across the area
through the mid morning hours due to light winds and high
humidity. As temperatures warm, the fog will dissipate by late
morning. Otherwise, mostly cloudy skies are expected through most
of the day, with southerly winds around 10 MPH developing by early
afternoon. This will help temperatures warm into the upper 70s to
lower 80s. For tonight, temperatures will be a few degrees warmer,
with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Sun Nov 1 2026

A strong upper level trough and Pacific cold front will move east
across west central Texas late Monday afternoon and night. Expect
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms to fire along the
front(Cam models showing this already) and move east across the
area. Much of our area is in a marginal risk for severe so a low
chance that a few storms may produce large hail and damaging
winds. Please keep up with the latest weather information as we
are in the secondary severe weather season. A warm day Monday with
highs 80 to 85.

Looks like a quiet weather pattern next week into the weekend as
additional storm systems are not expected until after the long
term period. Highs will be in the lower to mid 70s with overnight
lows in the 40s to lower 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 549 AM CST Sun Nov 1 2026

Currently, most sites are IFR or LIFR early this morning due to
low ceiling heights, with the lone outlier being KSJT, which is
high end MVFR. Expect these poor conditions to continue through
at least mid morning today. By late morning to early afternoon,
temperatures will warm, and southerly winds will increase, helping
to raise ceiling heights into the MVFR range. Expect a gradual
improvement to VFR conditions by late afternoon or early evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     80  66  84  57 /  10   0  20  20
San Angelo  79  63  82  56 /  10   0  20  40
Junction    79  62  82  59 /  10   0   0  80
Brownwood   82  63  83  57 /  10   0  20  90
Sweetwater  77  65  84  56 /  10  10  10  10
Ozona       75  63  79  57 /  20  10  10  60
Brady       79  63  81  59 /   0   0  10  90

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....21
AVIATION...20