980
FXUS64 KSJT 170541
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1241 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and dry weather will persist through the upcoming week

- The hottest temperatures are expected Tuesday through Thursday,
  where highs will be around 105 degrees across the Big Country

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2026

Upper level high pressure will prevail across the region through
Monday, with the center of the high over north central Texas
tomorrow. Dry and hot conditions will continue, with lows tonight
in the 70s and highs on Monday in the upper 90s to around 103
degrees. The hottest temperatures will be across the Concho
Valley into the Big Country. Breezy south winds will continue this
afternoon, with lighter winds expected tomorrow.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Not much change in the upcoming week as hot and dry conditions will
continue for the next several days.  This is due to a 596dam upper-
level ridge that will remain the dominant feature across the
southern US. This ridge will retrograde westward on Tuesday and
become centered over west Texas through Wednesday. The warmest days
look will be Tuesday through Thursday when 850mb temperatures will
increase to 25-27 deg C.  There is a medium to high (40-70%) chance
for high temperatures to exceed 105 degrees across the Big Country,
so heat advisories could be needed those days.  High temperatures
are expected to be 100-103 for areas further south.

By late Thursday, the ridge will shift further westward and become
centered over the Four Corners region.  Temperatures will be a few
degrees lower but this likely will not bring much overall relief
from the heat for most areas. A weak cold front will push southward
into north Texas late Friday into Saturday.  While earlier ensembles
and a few deterministic runs showed low (<20%) chances for rain with
this front, the consensus now shows next to nothing so PoPs have
been reduced accordingly.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1215 AM CDT Mon Aug 17 2026

Some patchy stratus will be possible in the early morning hours
near KJCT, but confidence isn`t high enough to mention in the
TAF. Otherwise, VFR conditions will continue the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene    102  78 102  79 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo 101  73 101  75 /   0   0   0   0
Junction   100  72  99  74 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood  102  73 102  75 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater 103  76 103  77 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       97  71  96  72 /   0   0   0   0
Brady      100  72  99  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....SK
AVIATION...42