872
FXUS64 KSJT 242323
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
623 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

Hot and dry is the name of the game for west central Texas...with
upper level ridging firmly in control over the southwestern U.S.
It will be mild tonight, with temperatures only dropping into the
mid to upper 70s. Rinse and repeat for Tuesday afternoon, with
temperatures ticking a couple of degrees warmer than today. Highs
will be in the 98-103 range, with the highest readings across the
Concho Valley and Big Country. The main issue will be feels like
temperatures especially across portions of the Big Country where
heat index values may reach or exceed 105 degrees. Will hold off
on a heat advisory with this forecast package given the
uncertainty with how high dewpoints will be. But will continue to
monitor dewpoint trends and issue an advisory with the next
forecast package if heat index values continue to trend up.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 251 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

High pressure will continue across the region through this weekend.
The hot and dry conditions will be the main result of this. Expect
heat indices in the 102-108 degree range through the end of the
work week. A Heat Advisory may be needed for the middle of this
week as there remains a risk of heat related illness given the
prolonged period of heat. The high pressure may start to shift to
the east early next week, which may bring a touch of relief.
However, the main focus for this period is the heat through the
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM CDT Mon Jun 24 2024

VFR conditions currently present across the area. Southeast winds
will veer more to the south through the overnight hours with
sustained speeds generally staying between 8-12 kts. MVFR stratus is
expected to build north into KJCT and KSOA by the early morning
hours and linger through late morning before lifting back to VFR.
All sites will see wind gusts in the 17-20 kt range starting by
late morning and continuing into the evening hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     78  99  79 101 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  77 101  77 103 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    75  97  76  99 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   76  97  77  99 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  78 101  78 102 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       74  96  75  98 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       75  96  75  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...50