072
FXUS64 KSJT 051830
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
Issued by National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1230 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cold front bringing breezy northwesterly winds this afternoon.

- Upper pattern change brings cooler temperatures and shower
  chances over the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1222 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

Currently on cold front watch. Based on surface observations from
the West Texas Mesonet, the front is currently about half easy
through the forecast area. The front will continue to gradually push
southeastward through the rest of the region. Preceding the front,
breezy northwesterly winds will fill in across the area. Currently,
areas behind the front are seeing gusts up to 35-40 mph. However,
winds behind the front are expected to weaken as it pushes through
the forecast area. We can still expect wind gusts up to 25-30 mph
this afternoon. Despite the frontal passage through the afternoon,
the colder air will be delayed until this evening. Therefore, we
will still see warm temperatures in the 70s with some areas across
the southeastern portions seeing highs in the lower 80s. The
overnight period will be quiet. Northerly winds are expected to
continue to weaken overnight and lows will reach the mid-40s to
lower 50s by early morning. A low cloud deck is also expected to
fill in overnight through early Friday with the influx of moisture
following the cold front. Mostly cloudy skies and light
northeasterly winds will cool off temperatures Friday with highs in
the mid-60s to lower 70s. A shower or two may be possible across the
Big Country region early Friday, however confidence on that is
low.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1222 PM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

The long term forecast will start off with a cooler and cloudy
weekend. The cloud deck that is expected to fill in across the
forecast area Friday is expected to prevail Saturday and Sunday
keeping high temperatures in the 60s. Precipitation chances also
return this weekend with an upper pattern change. An upper low will
develop across the Desert Southwest before swinging across northern
Mexico. This upper pattern change will shift the flow aloft to the
southwest, ushering in subtropical moisture to the mid-to-upper
levels. The influx of subtropical moisture in combination with the
moisture behind the front will bring chances for rain showers over
the weekend. Showers are expected to begin overnight Friday into
early Saturday across western portions of the forecast area before
expanding east. Showers will then clear out to the south and east
through late Sunday and early Monday. Not much is expected from
these showers besides light to moderate rain with storm total QPF
around 0.5 inches or less across the region with higher amounts
across the Northern Edwards Plateau and Northwest Hill Country
regions. As the upper low swings across Texas and continues to push
east next week, upper ridging will begin to amplify up the Rockies.
As the ridging amplifies and pushes east, temperatures will warm
back up to the 70s and conditions will dry out.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1126 AM CST Thu Nov 5 2026

VFR conditions will prevail. A cold front will push through the
region this afternoon bringing breezy northwesterly winds to all
terminals. However, as it continues to track southeast, winds
behind the front gradually weaken. Therefore, some terminals will
experience stronger winds such as KSJT and KBBD compared to
others. A low cloud deck is expected to fill in early Friday
morning and prevail through the rest of the day. At the moment,
this cloud deck is expected to remain VFR, however it is possible
these clouds could bring MVFR conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     76  49  68  47 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  77  47  68  48 /   0   0   0  10
Junction    80  48  70  48 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   79  49  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  73  47  65  46 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       76  47  67  50 /   0   0   0  10
Brady       79  49  69  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99