485
FXUS64 KSJT 281920
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
120 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Low chances of showers by this afternoon, and low to medium
   chances for showers and a few thunderstorms this evening and
   overnight.

-  Gusty north-northeast winds are expected Saturday evening and
   Saturday night following a cold frontal passage.

-  Colder temperatures on Sunday, with temperatures remaining
   below normal through the early part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 120 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Expect low to medium chance of showers and a few thunderstorms
across much of the area tonight and early Saturday morning due to
increasing mid level ascent and increasing moisture. Rainfall
amounts look light and also some weak elevated instability for
possible thunder. The rain will be over Saturday morning. Also,
low level southerly flow will continue with gusts to 30 mph at
times.

A strong cold front will move south into the area Saturday and
will be along a San Angelo to Brownwood line by 00Z Sunday.
Another warm day before strong cold air advection/much colder
weather arrives for Sunday. Highs will be mainly in the 70s.
However, temperatures may be slowly falling across the Big Country
during the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1245 PM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Saturday evening, the cold front should be down around the I-10
corridor and should exit our forecast area by mid evening. High
pressure building in behind the front with northeasterly surface
winds will result in continued cold air advection Saturday
evening through Sunday afternoon. Expect lows early Sunday morning
in the low 30s. Post-frontal winds will be gusty, with winds of
around 20-30 mph with gusts to 40 mph. As the pressure gradient
weakens, winds will lessen after sunrise. Highs Sunday afternoon
look to be in the mid 40s with partly to mostly cloudy skies as
southeasterly low level flow returns to bring an increase in low
level moisture and clouds.

Sunday night, enhanced southerly flow will result in overcast
stratus skies, which will help dampen radiational cooling. As a
result, now the NBM is showing lows early Monday morning in the
low to mid 30s, which is a change from the previous forecast
which had lows in the upper 20s. A strong upper level short-wave
trough moving across the Central Plains during the day Monday will
push another cold front across the region during the afternoon
through the early evening hours. With the front arriving earlier
to the Big Country, highs look to reach only the low to mid 50s,
while highs reach the upper 50s to low 60s south of the Big
Country (except the Heartland and Northwest Hill Country where
low clouds may linger and keep highs in the 50s). Monday night
will be a good radiational cooling night as surface high pressure
moves in behind the front, with winds weakening and skies mostly
clear to partly cloudy. Thus, it`s looking likely that Tuesday
morning will be the coldest morning of the week with lows in the
mid to upper 20s. Southerly low level flow will return once again
during the day Tuesday, with highs in the upper 50s to low 60s.

More upper level energy will push across the Central Plains
Wednesday pushing another cold front through the region Wednesday
night, while pre-frontal warming results in highs Wednesday in the
mid to upper 60s. Lows Thursday night look to be in the mid 30s to
low 40s. Post-frontal cold air advection continuing Thursday will
result in cooler highs in the 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1139 AM CST Fri Nov 28 2025

Expect widespread MVFR ceilings to fall to IFR ceilings late this
afternoon and lasting through Saturday morning as low level
moisture continue to increase. The south winds will be gusting to
25 knots at times. Also, expect isolated to scattered showers and
a few thunderstorms across much of the area. Will watch radar
trends for possible amendments at the terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     55  75  31  45 /  50   0   0   0
San Angelo  54  75  32  46 /  30   0   0   0
Junction    53  75  33  50 /  40   0   0   0
Brownwood   52  74  31  46 /  70  10   0   0
Sweetwater  56  73  30  44 /  20   0   0   0
Ozona       53  74  34  47 /  20   0   0   0
Brady       54  73  33  45 /  60  10  10   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....SJH
AVIATION...21