535
FXUS64 KSJT 012305
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
605 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Dry and warmer weather is expected this week. Rain chances
  return by the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 214 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

Isolated showers are possible along the I-10 corridor this
afternoon, but will die off quickly by sunset. Otherwise,
a dry forecast will prevail tonight into Tuesday. A weak cold
front will enter the Big Country tomorrow afternoon but the
front will be dry, with only a wind shift and slightly cooler
temperatures behind it. Temperatures will be pleasant tonight,
with lows in the 60s and highs Tuesday mainly in the lower 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 254 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

A relatively quiet weather pattern is expected for our area Tuesday-
Friday with mostly clear skies expected each day. An upper ridge to
our west will be our dominant weather feature. This ridge will
extend from the Intermountain West to the southern Rockies to far
west Texas Wednesday and Thursday, before breaking down by Friday.
Highs Wednesday will be in the lower to mid 90s. Thursday and Friday
look to be the hottest days, when highs are expected to be in the
upper 90s to 101 degrees in much of the Big Country and portions of
the Concho Valley.

An upper shortwave trough is progged to slowly move east into our
area from the west next weekend, bringing a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Some of the medium range models continue to indicate
that the remnants of a tropical system (currently a tropical wave
off the southwest coast of Mexico, which has a 90 percent chance of
tropical cyclone formation in the next 7 days) may get incorporated
into this trough. A cold front from the north is progged to move
south into our area during the weekend and possibly stall.  With the
aforementioned features and precipitable water values progged to
increase to 1.7 to 2 inches, this would suggest a potential for
heavy rainfall. Still quite a bit of uncertainty with the forecast
details, but something which we are monitoring with model trends and
ensemble data.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 447 PM CDT Mon Sep 1 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Patchy fog
is possible after 11Z at KJCT and KBBD, which may result in a
brief reduction in visibilities. Expect winds to remain light
through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     67  93  65  95 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  64  92  65  95 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    64  92  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   65  92  65  94 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  67  94  65  96 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       64  91  67  94 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       66  89  66  91 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...Daniels