351
FXUS64 KSJT 040316
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
916 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  A cold front will move through the area this afternoon and
   evening. This will bring breezy and colder conditions for
   Thursday, along with a low chance (20 to 30 percent) for
   scattered light rain showers during the day.

- Dry and warmer weather will prevail Friday through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 106 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Surface cold front has crossed the Red River and is heading
towards the Big country early this afternoon. The front will
move south across the area this afternoon and evening, with
the front clearing the I-10 corridor by late evening. Gusty
north winds will develop behind the front overnight into Thursday
morning, with winds beginning to subside by tomorrow afternoon. A
short wave will move across the region Thursday. Ahead of this
feature, cloud cover will increase tonight into Thursday morning,
with cloudy and cold conditions expected during the day. Low level
cold air advection, coupled with abundant cloud cover will result
in highs tomorrow mainly in the low to mid 40s. Breezy north
winds will make it feel even colder, with wind chill values in the
30s for much of the day. Lastly, weak lift up and over the
frontal boundary may result in some very light showers or drizzle
primarily across eastern and southeast portions of the forecast
area tomorrow. However, any precipitation is expected to be very
light.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1231 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Mostly benign weather in the longer term portion of the forecast.
In general, upper level trough over the eastern US and upper ridge
over the west will allow for a dry northwest flow across the
Southern Plains. Several weak shortwaves will move across the
area, but limited moisture with them so precipitation chances will
remain very limited. Same basic pattern with these waves, with
warmer southwest/west surface winds ahead of the system (this
coming Saturday and next Wednesday), followed by a cold
front dragging a colder air mass into the area (this Sunday and
next Thursday). Coldest night over the next week will be Monday
morning when radiational cooling allows temperatures to drop to
near or below freezing across the area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 830 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A cold front is moving through the area late this evening. Expect
gusty north winds behind the front, with these winds continuing
into the early to mid afternoon hours Thursday. Stratus will
approach the southern 3 sites during the early morning hours
Thursday, ahead of the front, resulting in MVFR ceilings. Behind
the front, stratus will filter into the KABI and KSJT, resulting
in MVFR ceilings. Expect gradual improvements in ceilings by mid
to late afternoon Thursday. Isolated light showers are possible on
Thursday, but coverage should remain isolated, so no mention was
included in the current TAFs.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     36  43  32  63 /  10  20   0   0
San Angelo  36  46  34  63 /   0   0  10   0
Junction    38  50  34  62 /  10  10  10  10
Brownwood   37  45  32  59 /  10  30   0   0
Sweetwater  35  42  33  63 /  10  10   0   0
Ozona       37  48  35  59 /   0   0  10  10
Brady       39  45  34  59 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...Daniels