Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS San Juan, PR

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187
FNCA52 TJSJ 140904
FWFSJU

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Puerto Rico
National Weather Service San Juan PR
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

.DISCUSSION...

Todays weather conditions are expected to remain largely similar to
yesterday, with a slight increase in dryness across southern Puerto
Rico. Very dry fuels continue, as indicated by elevated KBDI values,
574 at Cabo Rojo and 611 at Guanica, both signaling critical fire
weather conditions. These values, in conjunction with continued
rainfall deficits over the past 30 to 60 days across this region,
point to enhanced wildfire potential.

Breezy to locally windy conditions, low relative humidity, and poor
fuel moisture recovery will continue to support rapid fire spread,
especially across the southwestern coastal plains and adjacent
hills. Notably, fire activity was reported in these areas yesterday,
and similar activity is possible again today under these conditions.

While dry and breezy conditions will persist through today, a
gradual increase in moisture is expected to begin on Sunday, which
may begin to ease fire weather concerns in the coming days.
Nevertheless, for today, elevated fire weather remains a concern,
and a Fire Danger Statement is in effect for the southern coastal
plains and hills of Puerto Rico.

Residents and land management officials should continue to exercise
caution and follow any guidance in place. Refer to the latest Fire
Danger Statement (RFDSJU) for more information.


PRZ014-150915-
Southeast Coastal Plains-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           10           40
Temp (24h trend)      91 (+2)      73 (-1)      90
RH % (24h trend)      40 (-14)     91 (+6)      53
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 14 G22     E 11         E 13 G22
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 14 G22     E 11         E 13 G22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5510                      4920
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 15                      E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     71630                     63960
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            3            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ015-150915-
Southern Hills-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           10           40
Temp (24h trend)      86 (+2)      69 (-2)      86
RH % (24h trend)      54 (-10)     97 (+5)      60
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 13         E 11         E 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 13         E 11         E 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6180                      5220
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14                      E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     74160                     62640
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            3            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ016-150915-
North Coastal Plains-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           30           50
Temp (24h trend)      88 (0)       72 (-2)      88
RH % (24h trend)      59 (-5)      97 (+4)      62
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 19 G22     E 18         E 18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 19 G22     E 18         E 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5140                      5000
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 17                      E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     77100                     65000
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            5            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ017-150915-
Northern Hills-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           10           60
Temp (24h trend)      86 (+1)      70 (-1)      86
RH % (24h trend)      61 (-6)      98 (+1)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 18         E 16         E 16
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 18         E 16         E 16
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5710                      5910
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 14                      E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     68520                     59100
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            4            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ018-150915-
West Coast-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     60           10           50
Temp (24h trend)      90 (+1)      70 (-1)      89
RH % (24h trend)      55 (-6)      95 (+1)      59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 13         E 12         E 13
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 13         E 12         E 13
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5230                      4720
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  9                      E 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     41840                     47200
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   5            3            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ019-150915-
Eastern Interior-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           50           50
Temp (24h trend)      86 (+1)      70 (-2)      86
RH % (24h trend)      60 (-6)      98 (+5)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 12         E 12         E 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 12         E 12         E 12
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5220                      5480
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 16                      E 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     73080                     65760
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            3            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ022-150915-
Luquillo Mountain Range-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           50           50
Temp (24h trend)      81 (+3)      68 (-2)      81
RH % (24h trend)      69 (-8)      100 (+4)     73
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 11         E 10         E 11
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 11         E 10         E 11
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4480                      4460
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 16                      E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     62720                     57980
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            5            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ023-150915-
Central Mountain Range-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           10           50
Temp (24h trend)      84 (+3)      66 (-3)      84
RH % (24h trend)      60 (-8)      99 (+1)      63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 10         E 10         E 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 10         E 10         E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6710                      6810
Transport Wnd (mph)   E  9                      E  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     53680                     47670
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   5            2            5
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ024-150915-
Cayey Mountain Range-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     30           40           50
Temp (24h trend)      82 (+2)      68 (-2)      81
RH % (24h trend)      67 (-6)      100 (+2)     71
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 12         E 10         E 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 12         E 10         E 10
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4870                      4900
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 17                      E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     73050                     63700
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            3            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ025-150915-
Vieques-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           40           40
Temp (24h trend)      86 (0)       75 (-1)      86
RH % (24h trend)      60 (-4)      88 (+4)      63
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 14 G19     E 16 G19     E 14 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 14 G19     E 16 G19     E 14 G18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4100                      3640
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 18                      E 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     65600                     58240
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ026-150915-
Culebra-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           30           40
Temp (24h trend)      88 (+1)      76 (-1)      89
RH % (24h trend)      58 (-7)      90 (+5)      59
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 14 G19     E 14 G19     E 14 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 14 G19     E 14 G19     E 14 G18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4140                      3620
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 18                      E 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     66240                     61540
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

PRZ027-150915-
Southwest Coastal Plains and Mona Island-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           10           30
Temp (24h trend)      91 (+1)      73 (-1)      91
RH % (24h trend)      42 (-10)     87 (+2)      55
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 17 G25     E 11 G17     E 17 G24
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 17 G25     E 11 G17     E 17 G24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6150                      5000
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 15                      E 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     79950                     75000
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   5            4            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

VIZ001-150915-
Saint Thomas and Saint John-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           30           30
Temp (24h trend)      86 (+1)      74 (-3)      86
RH % (24h trend)      62 (-4)      92 (+8)      64
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 16 G20     E 16 G20     E 14 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 16 G20     E 16 G20     E 14 G18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3940                      3610
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 20                      E 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     66980                     61370
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$

VIZ002-150915-
St Croix-
504 AM AST Sat Jun 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           40           50
Temp (24h trend)      86 (0)       75 (-2)      87
RH % (24h trend)      62 (-4)      88 (+4)      66
Wind 20ft/early(mph)  E 16 G19     E 16 G18     E 14 G18
Wind 20ft/late(mph)   E 16 G19     E 16 G18     E 14 G18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4350                      4230
Transport Wnd (mph)   E 21                      E 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     78300                     76140
Dispersion            5                         5
DSI                   6            6            6
RH Recovery                        Excellent

Remarks...None.

$$


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