237
FXUS65 KSLC 011929
AFDSLC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
129 PM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES, Issued 1101 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026...


- High pressure will bring dry conditions and a gradual warming
  trend through the weekend.

- A weak storm system on Monday is expected to curb the warming
  trend and bring the potential for a few showers.

&&

.DISCUSSION, Issued 1101 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026...
Strong high pressure is centered over California
this morning, putting Utah and southwest Wyoming under an
increasingly dry northerly flow. Clear skies will continue over
the forecast area with high temperatures warming to up to 5F above
seasonal normals. The ridge will expand and shift east through
the weekend, with the axis moving overhead Friday and Saturday. As
a result, dry conditions will persist with light winds as maxes
warm to up to around 10F above seasonal normals over the weekend.

The ridge axis is expected to track east of the area Sunday into
Monday, with the majority of guidance bringing a weak storm system
into the vicinity of this area. A good amount of spread continues
to exist with regard to primarily the track of this system, which
would affect more subtle details about the impacts for the
forecast area. However, confidence is relatively high that the
increase in moisture will bring the potential for a few showers,
with at least a curbing of the warming trend to start the
work week.

High pressure is forecast to rebuild thereafter, bringing
continued dry and mild conditions through day seven and beyond.



&&

.AVIATION, Issued 1135 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026...


KSLC...Typical dirual wind shifts will occur under high pressure and
clear skies today. A weak dry boundary moving through the area on
Friday morning may lead to enhanced southerly flow in the morning
and a delayed wind shift to the north around 21-23Z Friday.

REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...VFR conditions will persist
across the airspace through the TAF period. Clear skies will persist
with typical mountain/valley circluations dominating wind
directions. High clouds may begin to filter in across far northern
Utah midday Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Strong high pressure will build over the state
into the weekend. This will bring increasingly dry conditions with
light winds and increasingly mild temperatures. A weak storm
system Monday is expected to curb the warming trend and bring a
very low chance of showers. High pressure will then rebuild
thereafter, keeping conditions dry and relative warm with
continued light winds.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...Traphagan
AVIATION...Wessler
FIRE WEATHER...Traphagan

For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/saltlakecity