497
FNUS75 KSLC 142015
FWSSLC

Spot Forecast for NZ Piles Kearl Pond...FS
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
115 PM MST Fri Nov 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 MST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Forecast models still support another system starting to
push into the region from the early to middle portions of the
upcoming week. Forecast confidence is low at this time, as
individual ensemble members continue to suggest two similarly
possible scenarios at this time, one a bit wetter/cooler, the
other a bit drier/milder. They have been trending towards the
drier/milder scenario however in which the system develops a
cutoff low which would slide more through southern Utah. As of now
the forecast carries around 0.07" to 0.15" of water with a trace
to about 0.5" of snow. That said, given the uncertainty, best to
watch the trends with this system.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent cloud cover) then
                    becoming partly cloudy (60-70 percent cloud
                    cover). Chance of snow.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....41-43.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5-10 mph with afternoon gusts
to around 20 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
   Climatology......20-30th Percentile.
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph becoming southwest around 12
                    mph in the afternoon.
Clearing index......520.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent cloud cover).
                    Chance of snow.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 30.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent cloud cover).
                    Chance of snow, then slight chance of snow late
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7-15 mph. Gusts to around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
   Climatology......20-30th Percentile.
Transport winds.....West around 9 mph becoming around 23 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Clearing index......790.

$$
Forecaster...Warthen
Requested by...Garret Henry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525953.0/SLC
.DELDT 11/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL garret.henry@usda.gov,stuart.bedke@usda.gov,wiatt.charlesworth@usda.gov