Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
770 FXUS01 KWBC 272010 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 309 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025 Valid 00Z Fri Nov 28 2025 - 00Z Sun Nov 30 2025 ...Heavy lake-effect snow will continue across the Great Lakes region into early Saturday morning before then tapering off... ...A very wintry pattern will unfold across large sections of the central and eastern U.S. into the weekend as cold high pressure from Canada drops south through the Plains and Midwest from Canada... ...The next major winter storm will affect the northern Plains and the Midwest Friday into Saturday bringing with it heavy snow and hazardous travel conditions... A very winter like pattern has rapidly unfolded this Thanksgiving Day across much of the country as multiple surges of cold high pressure drop down from Canada and overspread large areas of the Plains, Midwest and the East. A slowly departing winter storm over the Great Lakes region coupled with cold air overrunning the relatively warmer waters of the Great Lakes continues to focus heavy lake-effect snowfall, and this is expected to continue through Friday before gradually tapering off by early Saturday. Additional accumulations of up to 1 to 2 feet can be expected, with some of the heaviest totals over the next 24 to 36 hours focusing across northern portions of the Lower Peninsula of Michigan, and also areas of far northeast Ohio, northwest Pennsylvania and western New York. Travel will be locally very difficult due to heavy snowfall rates, gusty winds and poor visibility. More broadly, below normal temperatures will be expected going into the holiday weekend for much of the central and eastern U.S., with some high temperatures as much as 10 to 20 degrees below normal. Out West, a compact and well organized low pressure system will be impacting portions of Washington and Oregon through tonight, but will advance gradually inland across the Intermountain West and northern Rockies on Friday. The moist onshore flow will facilitate as much as 1 to 2 inches of rain for some of the coastal ranges, but this moisture will translate into some locally heavy snow for the higher terrain of the Cascades and especially the northern Rockies as the moisture and energy with this system advances inland. As much as 6 to 12 inches of snow is expected through Friday night for the high terrain of Idaho and western Montana including the Bitterroots. This storm system and its moisture will then eject east out into the northern Plains and then into the Midwest late Friday through Saturday and will set the stage for the next major winter storm to impact these areas. Low pressure developing the lee of the Rockies will advance toward the middle Mississippi Valley by late Saturday and should foster a widespread area of heavy snow from Montana through portions of the Dakotas and especially the Midwest. As much as 6 to 12 inches of snow is forecast with this next winter storm, with many areas in Iowa and western Illinois by Saturday evening expecting the heaviest amounts. Severe post-Thanksgiving travel disruptions are expected with this next winter storm going into the weekend, and therefore travelers should plan accordingly. Orrison/Hamrick Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$