100
FXUS01 KWBC 292018
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
417 PM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Valid 00Z Sat Aug 30 2025 - 00Z Mon Sep 01 2025

...A reinforcing cold front moving across the East Coast will set
the stage for pleasant weather this holiday weekend...

...Wet and stormy weather expected from the Plains to the Gulf
Coast with some potential flash flooding...

... The West Coast will begin to dry out from the wet monsoonal
pattern and heat up in temperatures...

After a taste of fall-like weather this past week, a sweeping cold
front will bring another reinforcing shot of cooler than normal
air to much of the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley, Northeast, and
Mid-Atlantic the next few days. High temperatures will reach the
70s and 80s, with most areas around 5-10 degrees below average.
High pressure will generally favor clear weather conditions, but
some thunderstorms are possible across the Appalachains and the
Tennessee Valley over the next few days.

The Gulf Coast from Texas to Florida will see stormy and wet
conditions as summer heat and humidity interact with a stationary
boundary to produce locally heavy thunderstorms. Some nuisance
water ponding could occur with any storms that do develop and
therefore WPC has a Marginal Risk for flash flooding for most of
the region though Monday. If you have outdoor plans, be aware of
lightning. Greater chances for flash flooding will be possible
across the Plains and across West Texas/New Mexico Saturday and
Sunday. Across Texas and New Mexico, clusters of storms could
repeat over the same areas and bring the risk for flash flooding.
A Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall is in effect for these areas
Saturday and Sunday. Additionally, some gusty winds could
accompany these thunderstorms. Farther north across the central
Plains, northern Oklahoma to southern South Dakota may see high
rainfall rates with thunderstorms that form within proximity to a
mid-level trough and or surface low pressure.  Rainfall rates may
be as high as 1-2 " an hour and the overall storm motions should
be be rather slow. A Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall is active
for most of Nebraska and Kansas on Saturday and concentrated in
southeastern Nebraska on Sunday.

The active weather pattern out West should begin to taper off as
high pressure builds in from the Pacific and precipitable water
begins to dry out and thus reduces chances for monsoonal
thunderstorms. Temperatures in the upper 90s to low 100s will be
possible for the Sacramento Valley and across the interior Pacific
Northwest. The Desert Southwest will be warm with temperatures in
the 100-110 F range. All in all, temperatures may be as much as 10
degrees warmer than average for most areas in the West.



Wilder

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
$$