Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
745 FXUS01 KWBC 032022 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 300 PM EST Wed Dec 03 2025 Valid 00Z Thu Dec 04 2025 - 00Z Sat Dec 06 2025 ...Lake-effect snow will linger across the Great Lakes with snow squalls possible over interior New England as periods of mountain snow blanket portions of the Rockies/High Plains and Pacific Northwest... ...Moderate to heavy rainfall expected along the Gulf Coast the next couple days with an isolated risk for flash flooding... ...A surge of arctic air is forecast to challenge low temperature records across the Midwest on Thursday and across the northern Mid-Atlantic to southern New England on Friday... ...Light snow could reach the central Appalachians to the Mid-Atlantic on Friday with showers and embedded thunderstorms down into the Southeast... A fast-moving wintry weather pattern is forecast to prevail across the northern tier states through the next few days. Starting from the western U.S., snow ahead of a digging upper-level trough has continued to persist across the central Rockies into the High Plains of Colorado where Winter Storm Warnings and Winter Weather Advisories remain in effect. The snow is forecast to drift southward into northern portion of New Mexico tonight before it gradually tapers off on Thursday as the upper trough exits the southern Rockies into the southern Plains. Mountain locations can expect snowfall totals of 6-12", locally higher, with totals range from 3 to 6 inches for lower elevations along the Colorado Front Range. The back end of the snow is forecast to reach the panhandle of Texas Thursday morning before ending Thursday afternoon. Across the Pacific Northwest, the next system from the Pacific will begin to spread mountain snow into the interior Pacific Northwest into the northern Rockies on Thursday. By Friday, the snow will likely blanket the northern Rockies early in the day before entering the central Rockies as the day progresses where as much as a foot of new snow is possible by evening. Meanwhile, closer to coast across the Pacific Northwest including much of the Cascades and lower elevations of the interior sections, periods of rain can be expected for much of Thursday and Friday. To the north, an initial surge of polar air behind a clipper-like system has initiated lake-effect snow across the upper Great Lakes. As the associated cold front sweep across the remainder of the Great Lakes tonight and into New England by Thursday, lake-effect snow will overspread the lower Great Lakes along with the possibility of snow squalls across interior New England on Thursday. Blustery and colder conditions will follow across much of the Northeast Thursday night into Friday. This surge of arctic air is forecast to bring temperatures cold enough to challenge low temperature records across the Midwest on Thursday and then across the northern Mid-Atlantic to southern New England on Friday. As a high pressure system associated with the arctic air invades the northern and central U.S., the aforementioned upper-level trough will emerge into the southern Plains on Thursday and will begin to interact with a front near the Gulf Coast. This weather pattern will increase the chance of moderate to heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms for the western and central Gulf Coast on Thursday, spreading into the eastern Gulf Coast and across the Southeast on Friday. The rain and thunderstorms are in response to a low pressure wave forming along the front. In addition, there is enough cold air farther north to support snow across the central Appalachians to the Mid-Atlantic on Friday. Nevertheless, there is uncertainty on the northern extent and amount of the snow. Interests should keep abreast of further forecast updates on the winter weather prospects for this region. Kong Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$