Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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836
FXUS01 KWBC 100801
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
300 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

Valid 12Z Mon Nov 10 2025 - 12Z Wed Nov 12 2025

...Frigid airmass brings sharply colder weather across the eastern
two-thirds of the country and record maximum and minimum
temperatures in the Southeast including all of Florida through
tonight...

...Snowy, very cold and windy from the Great Lakes to interior New
England and west slopes of the Appalachians...


A closed upper low over the Ohio Valley/Upper Midwest will tilt
negatively as it shifts through the Northeast and into
southeastern Canada by Wednesday morning. At the surface, a frigid
continental polar airmass will continue to stream south through
the Central and Eastern U.S. behind an associated polar front. Max
and min temperatures between 20-30 degrees below average will tie
or break many records across the Southeast through tonight. Record
breaking maximum temperatures are also possible for much of the
Florida peninsula on Tuesday as well as the polar airmass
continues its southward progression. Freeze watches and warnings
are in effect from the Lower Mississippi Valley to the Virginia
Tidewater through Tuesday morning. Surface high pressure will dive
south across the Plains today, while a compact pressure gradient
across the Mississippi Valley, Midwest and Southeast will generate
gusty winds and dry conditions. This will support an elevated fire
weather threat across the Central Gulf Coast, where red flag
warnings are in effect today and for much of the Southern Plains
on Tuesday.

Surface troughing and northerly flow supplying cold air across the
Midwest and interior Northeast will generate snowfall for portions
of the Great Lakes and Appalachians today, where an additional
4-8" are expected with isolated higher amounts possible by
Wednesday morning. Lake effect snow warnings are in effect
downwind of Lake Erie, while winter weather advisories and winter
storm warnings dot downwind areas of the Great Lakes, northern
Maine and the Central/Southern Appalachians. Elsewhere, an
amplified upper low pressure system will bring unsettled weather
to the West beginning on Wednesday.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

$$