Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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892 FXUS01 KWBC 020757 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 257 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026 Valid 12Z Mon Nov 02 2026 - 12Z Wed Nov 04 2026 ...Intensifying low pressure system brings gusty winds, locally heavy rain, and severe weather to the Great Plains... ...Heavy rainfall threat continues along the east coast of Florida today... The latest surface analysis this morning shows a lee-side cyclone winding up in the Central High Plains ahead of a deep Western U.S. upper-trough. Over the next 6-12 hours, this system is forecast to quickly deepen while moving across the Northern Plains, leading to increasing winds, showers, and thunderstorms to kick off the work week. As a cold front emerges later this afternoon, the Central and Southern Plains can expect a round of severe thunderstorms and isolated to scattered flash flooding. The focus for heavy rainfall will then march eastward toward the Mississippi Valley and Upper- Midwest ahead of the front, with some severe weather also possible across the Lower/Mid-Mississippi Valley. Meanwhile, persistent onshore flow from a large high pressure system sliding off the East Coast will bring additional heavy rainfall for portions of southern Florida Peninsula today. In contrast, the same high pressure system will maintain dry and mild weather for much of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Asherman/Kong Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$