605
FXUS01 KWBC 012029
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
427 PM EDT Thu Oct 01 2026

Valid 00Z Fri Oct 02 2026 - 00Z Sun Oct 04 2026

...Excessive rainfall potential lingers over the Southern Plains
through Friday before shifting into the Southeast and Gulf Coast
this weekend...


A slow moving cold front will focus showers and thunderstorms
along its boundary from South Texas up through the Midwest and
into the Lower Great Lakes tonight. Storms will persist over the
southern and eastern Texas on Friday due to the quasi-stationary
nature of the aforementioned front, though, the northern section
of it continues to move east spreading scattered showers and
thunderstorms into the Ohio Valley, Northeast and Mid-Atlantic.
Subtropical moisture originating from the Caribbean will flow
northward and interact with a weak convergence zone along the Gulf
Coast. This will lead to some thunderstorm and heavy rainfall
potential on Friday. The slow moving front finally arrives over
the Southeast and Gulf Coast by Saturday, when it will combine
with the aforementioned moisture to generate heavy to excessive
rainfall from South Texas to the Carolinas.

Elsewhere, another low pressure system will swing south into the
northern tier states on Saturday, generating additional showers
across the Dakotas and Upper Midwest/Great Lakes. Persistent
ridging over the West will promote above average temperatures for
much of the region through early next week. Minimum temperatures
in the low to mid 70s will provide little to no overnight relief
to those without adequate cooling or hydration. Extreme heat
warnings are in effect for parts of SoCal from the San Diego Metro
to the Los Angeles Metro for the next several days. Heat
advisories are in effect for much of Central California west of
the Sierra this weekend.


Kebede


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php






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