902
FXUS01 KWBC 030502
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
1201 AM EST Mon Nov 03 2025

Valid 12Z Mon Nov 03 2025 - 12Z Wed Nov 05 2025

...Unsettled weather returns to the Northwest & Northern
California today, with an increasing threat for heavy rain for
both areas Tuesday into Wednesday...

...Strong winds for southwest Oregon this afternoon/evening &
later on for coastal sections of northern California late Tuesday
into Wednesday...

Increasingly zonal, or west-to-east, flow is expected across the
Lower 48 over the next few days. This will broaden the footprint
of above to well above average temperatures with time across the
country.  This also favors wetness/periodic storminess for the
Northwest/Northern California due to onshore flow from the Pacific
and dryness due to downslope flow across the High Plains/Plains.
Any precipitation for the Great Lakes and East should be modest in
amounts.

The wetness across the Northwest will be fostered by the incursion
of a low pressure into the Oregon coast late Monday, which is a
strong enough system to prompt High Wind Warnings for coastal
Oregon this afternoon and evening.  Even though the surface low
fades, its trailing front lingers/wavers near the coast from
Northern California northward, keeping rain in the forecast.  Late
Tuesday into Wednesday, a strong cyclone in the northeast Pacific
reinforces the existing front and causes breezy to windy
conditions to renew from northern California northward and brings
the potential for heavier rains.

Downslope flow in the High Plains promises breezy and dry
conditions early this week.  The Southern High Plains could see
conditions favorable for fire weather during the heating of the
day today,  On Tuesday, portions of the High Plains continue have
some potential for wildfire risk due to the continued dry air mass
and breezy conditions.  Record high temperatures are possible for
portions of the Texas Panhandle and Northwest Texas due to the
compressional heating afforded by the downslope flow south of a
frontal boundary on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Skirmishes of showers are expected with a couple frontal
boundaries today and late Tuesday into Wednesday across the Great
Lakes/New York.  Showers are expected along the Mid-Atlantic and
southern New England coasts with a surface low moving from
offshore the Southeast to southeast of New England today and
tonight.  Its moisture will be tapped by a front moving east from
the Great Lakes, spreading rain across the Northeast tonight.
Higher elevation snow showers are anticipated for the Northern
Appalachians Tuesday morning.

Roth

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

$$