


Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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109 FXUS01 KWBC 072011 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 400 PM EDT Sun Sep 07 2025 Valid 00Z Mon Sep 08 2025 - 00Z Wed Sep 10 2025 ...Showers and thunderstorms linger across the Florida Peninsular to along parts of the immediate coast of the southeastern U.S.... ...There are Air Quality Alerts over parts of the interior Pacific Northwest... ...Much below normal temperatures across the eastern half of the country with Frost Advisories and Freeze Warnings over parts of the Upper Midwest, Michigan, and Pennsylvania Monday morning... A large high pressure system from Canada will settle and dominate the weather pattern across much of the central and eastern U.S. This high pressure system will bring another refreshingly cool air mass for much of the eastern half of the country through the next couple of days. In fact, parts of the upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and Pennsylvania can expect the first frost of the season Monday morning. In addition, temperatures falling into the 40s and 50s will challenge some for the record low temperatures across the Tennessee Valley and a few locations in the Great Lakes and the Northeast Monday morning. While fine weather will prevail from much of eastern U.S. to the Mid-South, a stationary front on the southern edge of the high pressure system will be associated with inclement weather across the Sunshine State to the immediate coast of the southeastern U.S. Scattered thunderstorms will be the rule across Florida, with late afternoon into the evening being the time when these thunderstorms will be most active daily. In addition, a low pressure center lingering over the eastern Gulf could spin some stronger thunderstorms with gusty winds toward the west coast of Florida Peninsula from time to time. Some thunderstorms can also develop near/along the coast of the southeast U.S. through the next couple of days but the heaviest rainfall is expected the fall offshore closer to the stationary front. Nevertheless, any rain that does fall can contain heavy downpours which could lead to local flooding issues. On the backside of the large high pressure system, a frontal system with a couple of low pressure waves will bring scattered thunderstorms at times across the central to southern Plains for the next couple of days, and a round of rain with embedded thunderstorms across the upper Midwest to the upper Great Lakes Monday to Tuesday. Warmer than normal conditions are expected to spread from the northern Rockies into the northern Plains into Monday, and then farther south into the southern High Plains by Tuesday. Meanwhile, upper-level troughing and a low pressure system moving toward the West Coast through Tuesday will bring a round of rain into the Pacific Northwest by tonight. The rain will then extend into parts of the northern Rockies by Tuesday. The prevalence of clouds and rain will keep temperature below normal. Furthermore, smoke from wildfires has prompted Air Quality Alerts over parts of the interior Pacific Northwest. The Southwest will be high and dry with high temperatures only into the 100s, which are slightly cooler than normal for this time of year. Kong Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$