Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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463
FXUS01 KWBC 011956
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
355 PM EDT Sat Nov 01 2025

Valid 00Z Sun Nov 02 2025 - 00Z Tue Nov 04 2025

...Unsettled weather to persist across the Northwest and Rockies
into Sunday, with strong winds likely...

...Severe storms possible in southern Texas late today...

...Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories in effect for parts of the
central U.S. and the Mid Atlantic Sunday morning...

Unsettled weather is expected to persist into the second half of
the weekend, stretching from the Pacific Northwest to the northern
Rockies, as a cold front and an accompanying plume of moisture
move onshore. Precipitation will continue overnight, with
localized heavy rainfall possible, particularly in higher
elevations. Windy conditions will also persist, especially across
northwestern and central Montana, where gusts could exceed 60 mph,
prompting High Wind Warnings. A brief period of drier, more
settled weather is expected by late Sunday, before another system
brings precipitation back into the region on Monday.

The cold front is forecast to move steadily eastward, bringing
rain to the Great Lakes region late Sunday into early Monday,
before advancing into the Northeast by late Monday.

Ahead of the front, high pressure and dry conditions will dominate
much of the central U.S. Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories are
in effect for much of Missouri, Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma,
southeastern Kansas, and parts of southern Illinois. Clear skies
and calm winds will allow temperatures to drop below freezing
Sunday night, marking the end of the growing season for much of
the region. Frost Advisories are also in effect for portions of
New Jersey, eastern Virginia, and central to eastern North
Carolina.

In contrast, well-above-normal temperatures are expected across
much of the western U.S., with a few daily high temperature
records possible in parts of the central High Plains, Rockies, and
Southwest on Sunday.

Across southern and coastal Texas, an area of low pressure sliding
southeast will produce showers and thunderstorms later today. Some
of these storms may become strong to severe, with large hail and
damaging winds possible this evening.

Lastly, a slow-moving upper-level system will continue to bring
rain and showers to parts of the lower Ohio and Tennessee valleys
into tonight, before shifting into the Southeast on Sunday.

Pereira

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

$$