Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
250 FXUS23 KWNC 051902 PMDSST Tropical Pacific mean sea surface temperature/SST/ outlook NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD 300 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2026 Mean temperature anomaly SST outlooks are in tenth of a degree Celsius for the Nino 3.4 area of the tropical Pacific /5N-5S 120W-170W/. Anomalies are from 1991-2020 Nino 3.4 climatology SST /CLIM/. Three month outlook periods eg. JFM is January through March - FMA for FEB. through APR. See notes below on types of outlooks TYPE JAS ASO SON OND NDJ DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS CONS 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.5 U68 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.4 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 L68 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.1 -0.1 -0.4 -0.7 -0.7 -0.9 -1.2 U95 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.0 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 L95 -0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 -0.0 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -1.0 -1.0 -1.3 -1.6 CCA 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 -0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.5 CA 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 -0.2 CFS 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.1 1.7 CLM 27.0 26.8 26.7 26.7 26.6 26.7 26.9 27.3 27.7 27.8 27.7 27.3 27.0 CONS - Official consolidated outlook U68 - The upper limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast L68 - The lower limit of the 68 percent confidence interval forecast U95 - The upper limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast L95 - THE lower limit of the 95 percent confidence interval forecast CCA - Canonical correlation analysis outlook CA - Constructed analog outlook CFS - NCEP CFS version 2 dynamic model outlook CLM - Climatological mean Nino 3.4 SST This product is available in a graphical format on the internet http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov $$