Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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FXUS66 KSTO 241846
AFDSTO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
1146 AM PDT Sat Oct 24 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Dry weather continues through most of next week, chance for
   light showers over the Shasta County mountains on Monday

 - Breezy to gusty onshore winds on Monday, strongest in the
   mountains

 - Potential for unsettled weather Halloween Weekend, but details
   remain uncertain

.DISCUSSION...

...Today through Monday...

Mostly clear skies today, following the rain and cloudy weather we
experienced the last couple of days. Winds will steadily decrease
today, with downsloping northeast to east winds lingering in the
mountains through this evening, up to 15 to 25 mph at times. Given
the timing of the winds, cooler temperatures, and the recent
rainfall, no widespread fire weather concerns are anticipated at
this time. However, as northerly winds decrease, there is a 5 to
20% chance of fog development in the Valley overnight tonight;
highest chances in the northern San Joaquin Valley.

Ridging will keep the high temperatures in the high 60s to low
70s through Monday, with a slight downward trend beginning Monday
as a weather system passes through the area. This system will also
bring low chances for light precipitation in Shasta County,
particularly over the Coast Range and southern Cascades, as well
as breezy onshore southerly winds. Strongest winds expected over
the Sierra and southern Cascades, generally 20 to 30 mph, but up
to 40 mph over peaks. Otherwise dry weather is expected across the
remainder of interior NorCal.

...Tuesday and Beyond...

Dry weather continues through the majority of the work week, but
potential remains for unsettled weather at the end of October and
into early November. Ensemble guidance seems clear now that a low
pressure system will approach the area, but details about
precipitation amounts and impacts remain fairly uncertain this far
out. Regardless, this week will be an ideal time to clear gutters
and secure loose outdoor decorations and items in preparation for
any additional precipitation and gusty winds.

&&

.AVIATION...
Predominantly VFR conditions are expected over the next 24 hours.
North to east winds decrease today, becoming less than 12 kts by
00Z Sunday. Potential for isolated FG/BR in the Valley from
11Z-16Z Sunday. Increasing mid to high level clouds ahead of a
weak system tonight into Sunday.

&&

.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$