816
FNUS76 KSTO 182223
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for Manzanita Chutes Landings...USFS
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
223 PM PST Tue Nov 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 PST on November 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny, with a few passing clouds expected at the burn site
tomorrow morning. An approaching weather system will enter the
region by Wednesday night and bring renewed chances for rain showers
and light snow to the site through Friday morning. This weather
system is not as strong as our previous event, so not expecting
as much rain and snow accumulations at this time. Current rain
forecast at the site is around 0.30-0.50" inches, with an inch of
snow falling Thursday into Friday as colder air arrives. Winds
will remain mostly terrain driven, and generally below 7 mph
sustained. Drier weather Friday afternoon and into the weekend.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....41-45.
Min humidity........91-95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light terrain driven winds.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
CWR.................4 percent in the late afternoon/evening.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers and snow showers.
Min temperature.....26-30.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light terrain driven winds.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest around 12 mph.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 12 mph.
CWR.................59 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow showers with rain mixed in.
Max temperature.....35-39.
Min humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light terrain driven winds.
 Ridgetop...........South around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph.
CWR.................69 percent.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

$$
Forecaster...JW
Requested by...Rich Davis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526328.0/STO
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.miguel@usda.gov,Travis.schneider@usda.gov,richard.davis2@usda.gov