Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA
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FNUS76 KSTO 111241
FWSSTO
Spot Forecast for Lower McCloud - Bear Trap...USFS
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
441 AM PST Tue Nov 11 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PST on November 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Minimum humidity values into low 60s into Tuesday with light winds
ahead of a weather system expected Wednesday into Friday
bringing rain with isolated t-storms chances (Thursday) and cooler
temperatures. Wednesday night into Thursday morning is forecasted
as the heaviest period of rain with a 60-75% chance of 2 inches
or greater from Wed-Fri a storm total of 2.25-2.75".
Increasing south winds Wednesday afternoon into Thursday becoming
south winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph by Thursday
morning. Afterwards, winds will trend weaker throughout the day,
returning to light on Friday.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....61-65.
Min humidity........62-66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Ridgetop...........Northeast around 7 mph shifting to the south 3
to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph shifting to the south 3
to 8 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Temp............42 41 43 47 52 58 60 61 62 61 59 57
RH..............91 94 96 89 81 73 66 64 65 68 73 79
SL/VL wind dir..N N N N NE NE S S S S S S
SL/VL wind spd..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
SL/VL wind gust.8 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6
Ridge wind dir..N NE NE NE SE SE SE S S S S S
Ridge wind spd..7 7 7 7 3 3 3 8 8 8 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.1 2.1 2.1 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.N NE NE NE SE SE SE S S S S S
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7 3 3 3 8 8 8 6 6
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy then
becoming mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....38-42.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds.
Ridgetop...........Light winds.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds.
CWR.................1 percent.
TIME (PST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC MC
Temp............54 52 49 49 47 46 45 44 42 42 42 40
RH..............81 88 92 92 92 95 100 99 100 99 100 99
SL/VL wind dir..SE E NE NE N N N NE NE NE NE NE
SL/VL wind spd..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
SL/VL wind gust.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8
Ridge wind dir..SE E NE NE N N N NE NE NE NE NE
Ridge wind spd..6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE E NE NE N N N NE NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
the late morning and early afternoon. Rain
showers likely late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....51-55.
Min humidity........91-95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming south 8 to 12 mph with gusts
to around 20 mph in the late morning and
afternoon.
Ridgetop...........South 5 to 9 mph increasing to 13 to 16 mph in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 16 mph.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 45 percent late in the
afternoon.
TIME (PST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 50 50
Temp............40 40 42 44 47 49 50 51 51 51 51 50
RH..............100 100 99 99 99 97 95 94 94 95 96 97
SL/VL wind dir..NE E E E S S S S S S S S
SL/VL wind spd..3 5 5 5 7 7 7 9 12 12 10 10
SL/VL wind gust.8 10 10 10 15 15 15 18 18 18 20 20
Ridge wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S
Ridge wind spd..5 6 6 6 9 9 9 16 16 16 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.5 6 6 6 9 9 9 16 16 16 13 13
$$
Forecaster...DA
Requested by...Hanne Meyers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525347.1/STO
.DELDT 11/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ramon.mota@usda.gov,hanne.meyers@usda.gov