763
FNUS76 KSTO 102333
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for New Hogan / Central VMP...CALFIRE
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
333 PM PST Mon Nov 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 PST on November 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly cloudy skies at the burn site tomorrow at planned ignition time.
Generally, light winds from the south in the early afternoon then a period
of easterly winds develop Tuesday night. Mixing heights will fall to
around 400 feet/ground level during the night. By Wednesday evening, an
Atmospheric River is forecast to make landfall and bring widespread
rain, gusty winds, thunderstorm chances, and cooler temperatures to
the region. Heaviest rain, strongest winds, thunderstorm chances highest
on Thursday. Rain totals from Wednesday evening through Friday are forecast
to be in the 1.75 to 2.25" inches of rain. Gusty southerly winds Thursday
in the 30 to 35 mph range. Activity will become more scattered on Saturday,
then Sunday another wave of moisture is expected to arrive. Details remain
uncertain on the weekend activity at this time.

.VETERANS DAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....74-78.
Min humidity........39-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds from the south-southwest around 2 to 4 mph,
then transitioning from the east late afternoon/early
evening, 2 to 4 mph.
 Ridgetop...........South around 2 to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 2 to 5 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....54-58.
Max humidity........76-80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds.
 Ridgetop...........East around 3 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 3 to 6 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....69-73.
Min humidity........55-59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 3 to 6 mph shifting to the south 5
                    to 7 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast around 8 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 to 12 mph.
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent in the evening.

$$
Forecaster...JW
Requested by...John Fredrick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525533.0/STO
.DELDT 11/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.fredrick@fire.ca.gov