288
FNUS76 KSTO 141046
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for Gianelli Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
246 AM PST Fri Nov 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PST on November 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Rain will continue through this morning, with coverage become scattered
and later isolated as we move into the afternoon and evening. Showers
will be isolated Friday night and Saturday morning. Over the weekend and
into early next week, precipitation chances continue with a new weather
system. This push of weather will be cooler, and chances for snow will be
higher at the site. Totals and exact timing are still somewhat uncertain
but currently, rain will begin late Saturday morning, with snow starting
early Sunday. Forecasted rainfall totals near the site are between 1 to
1.5 inches, with forecasted snow totals ranging from 2 to 8 inches,
depending on exact elevation. Winds will be strongest on Sunday and into
Monday, though gusts are expected to stay below 20 mph, and sustained
speeds will be below 15 mph.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers in the morning,
                    then rain showers likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....39-44.
Min humidity........88-99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds up to 7 mph in the morning and
                    early afternoon, with gusts up to 15 mph,
then becoming light and variable.
 Ridgetop...........South 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 14 mph.
CWR.................95 percent decreasing to 18 percent.
Chance of thunder...14 percent.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC
CWR.............95  95  95  95  80  80  80  80  80  80  18  18
Chc of thdr (%).9   5   5   5   9   9   9   14  14  14  14  5
Temp............37  35  37  37  38  39  39  39  40  41  39  39
RH..............100 100 100 100 98  100 99  100 99  100 100 100
SL/VL wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
SL/VL wind spd..7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   3   3
SL/VL wind gust.13  12  12  12  10  9   9   9   8   8   7   7
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Ridge wind spd..14  12  12  12  14  14  14  13  13  13  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.14  12  12  12  14  14  14  13  13  13  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly to partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers.
Min temperature.....32-36.
Max humidity........90-99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds up to 9 mph with gusts up to 15 mph
early in the morning.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast 10 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 12 mph.
CWR.................18 percent decreasing to 6 percent after 3 am.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.

TIME (PST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
CWR.............18  18  18  18  10  10  10  10  10  6   6   6
Chc of thdr (%).5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............38  36  36  36  36  36  36  37  36  36  36  35
RH..............98  100 95  89  83  83  83  83  85  82  83  86
SL/VL wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
SL/VL wind spd..5   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9
SL/VL wind gust.8   10  10  12  12  12  12  12  14  14  15  15
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Ridge wind spd..10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain showers early in
                    the morning, then rain showers likely in the
                    late morning and early afternoon.
Max temperature.....43-50.
Min humidity........80-86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds up to 10 mph with gusts up to
16 mph in the morning.
 Ridgetop...........East 12 to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 21 mph.
CWR.................6 percent increasing to 77 percent.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
CWR.............6   6   6   6   40  40  40  40  40  40  77  77
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   2   2   4
Temp............36  36  37  41  44  46  46  46  45  44  43  41
RH..............90  92  89  86  83  82  83  85  89  93  97  99
SL/VL wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
SL/VL wind spd..9   10  10  10  7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5
SL/VL wind gust.15  16  16  16  13  13  13  9   9   9   9   9
Ridge wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Ridge wind spd..10  10  15  20  25  25  20  15  15  10  10  5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  13  13  13  16  16  16  21  21  21  13  13

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Colder. Showers and snow showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the mid 30s. Southwest winds around 7 mph with gusts up to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...
Snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. South
winds around 7 mph with gusts up to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the upper 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SP
Requested by...Charles Daniel
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525452.5/STO
.DELDT 11/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL charles.daniel@usda.gov