627
FNUS76 KSTO 131040
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for Lower McCloud - Bear Trap...USFS
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
240 AM PST Thu Nov 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PST on November 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Rain will continue to increase in coverage and intensity through
this morning before rain amounts begin weaken after this
afternoon, although showers will linger into Friday morning.
Clearing conditions expected by Friday evening and overnight.
Total rainfall by Friday night of 1.75-2.75 inches with higher
amounts as you move up in elevation.

Winds will be breezy out of the south around 10-20 mph within the
valley and slope and 15-20 mph along the ridge top with gusts up to
35 mph today. Winds will decrease through the evening with light
winds on Friday. Drier conditions over the weekend, with
increasing  chances for precipitation early next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog early in the morning. Areas
                    of fog late in the morning, then patchy fog in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Rain showers
                    through the day.
Max temperature.....49-53.
Min humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 10 to 16 mph with gusts 25 to 35 mph
                    decreasing to 15 to 25 mph late in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........South 15 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 25 mph.
CWR.................99 percent decreasing to 87 percent late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
CWR.............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 90  90
Temp............43  44  44  47  48  49  50  51  50  50  49  48
RH..............98  100 100 98  100 100 100 100 100 100 99  100
SL/VL wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
SL/VL wind spd..13  14  14  14  16  16  16  13  13  13  10  10
SL/VL wind gust.33  31  31  31  29  29  29  24  24  24  21  21
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..15  17  17  17  22  22  22  21  21  21  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  17  17  17  22  22  22  21  21  21  17  17

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog early in the evening. Areas
                    of fog late in the evening. Patchy fog late in
                    the evening. Rain showers in the evening, then
                    rain showers likely overnight.
Min temperature.....35-39.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts 15 to 20 mph
                    becoming light overnight.
 Ridgetop...........South 10 to 17 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph.
CWR.................87 percent decreasing to 16 percent.

TIME (PST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC
CWR.............90  90  90  90  40  40  40  40  40  40  20  20
Temp............47  47  46  45  45  43  43  42  41  41  40  39
RH..............100 100 99  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 99
SL/VL wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   E   E
SL/VL wind spd..10  12  12  12  7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
SL/VL wind gust.21  24  24  24  20  17  16  15  14  13  12  12
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..17  12  12  12  10  10  10  7   7   7   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.17  12  12  12  10  10  10  7   7   7   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly sunny.
                    Chance of rain showers early in the morning,
                    then slight chance of rain showers in the late
                    morning and early afternoon.
Max temperature.....47-51.
Min humidity........85-89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds
 Ridgetop...........Light winds becoming south winds 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds becoming south winds 5 to 8 mph in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................16 percent decreasing to 5 percent in the late
                    morning and afternoon.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
CWR.............20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Temp............39  37  39  41  43  45  46  47  48  48  47  46
RH..............99  100 100 100 100 98  95  93  91  91  91  94
SL/VL wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   N   N
SL/VL wind spd..5   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
SL/VL wind gust.12  9   9   9   9   9   9   7   7   7   6   6
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.9 2.9 2.9 1.8 1.8
Transp wind dir.SE  E   E   E   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.5   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Warmer. Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs around 60. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Cooler. Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...DA
Requested by...Hanne Meyers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525347.3/STO
.DELDT 11/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hanne.meyers@usda.gov,ramon.mota@usda.gov