153
FNUS76 KSTO 040019
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for West Moran Rx Burn...California State Parks
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
419 PM PST Mon Nov 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 PST on November 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A shift toward a more active weather pattern is expected from
Tuesday onward as a series of weather systems move through NorCal
this week. The bulk of Tuesday is expected to remain dry near the
burn site, with south-southwest winds becoming breezy to gusty
throughout the day. Increasing rain shower chances then arrive
overnight, with heaviest periods of precipitation and strongest
winds anticipated on Wednesday. Alongside a 15% chance of isolated
thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon/evening, current chances for
rainfall greater than 1" sit around 50-70% on Wednesday as well.
Generally drier weather anticipated Thursday and Friday with
additional shower chances by the weekend.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....60-65.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    south-southwest in the afternoon. Gusts to
                    around 21 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........South 12 to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......Rising to near 2900 ft AGL by the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

TIME (PST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR PC  MCR MCR PC  PC  MCR MCR PC  PC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  57  59  62  62  62  61  62  59  57
RH..............51  46  45  45  45  45  46  48  53  60
SL/VL wind dir..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
SL/VL wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SL/VL wind gust.14  15  16  17  18  20  18  17  21  21
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..12  12  17  17  17  18  18  18  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.7 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  17  17  17  18  18  18  13  13

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. Rain
                    showers likely after 3 am.
Min temperature.....43-48.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 7 mph with gusts to around 21
                    mph shifting to the southeast 9 to 12 mph with
                    gusts to around 31 mph overnight.
 Ridgetop...........South 12 to 17 mph increasing to around 22 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......Falling to near 100 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 22 mph.
CWR.................1 percent increasing to 68 percent after 3 am.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.

TIME (PST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MC  MC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   70  70
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  51  50  50  51  51  51  51  51  50  50  50
RH..............67  68  64  61  59  56  55  57  68  81  92  94
SL/VL wind dir..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
SL/VL wind spd..6   7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9   12  12
SL/VL wind gust.21  21  21  21  21  21  21  24  24  24  31  31
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Ridge wind spd..13  12  12  12  15  15  15  17  17  17  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  12  15  15  15  17  17  17  22  22

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely throughout the
                    day. Chance of isolated thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....49-54.
Min humidity........90-95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 10 to 14 mph with gusts to around 35
                    mph, gradually decreasing late in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........South 20 to 24 mph decreasing to around 14 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Rising to near 1700 ft AGL by the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 24 mph.
CWR.................68 percent increasing to 93 percent in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then decreasing to
                    46 percent late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.

TIME (PST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
CWR.............70  70  70  70  90  90  90  90  90  90  50  50
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20
Temp............50  50  48  46  45  45  46  47  47  47  47  47
RH..............94  92  93  95  97  98  99  99  98  96  95  95
SL/VL wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
SL/VL wind spd..12  13  13  13  13  13  13  10  10  10  7   7
SL/VL wind gust.31  35  35  35  33  33  33  28  28  28  23  23
Ridge wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S
Ridge wind spd..22  24  24  24  21  21  21  20  20  20  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.22  24  24  24  21  21  21  20  20  20  14  14

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers early in the morning.
Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around 60. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 60s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s. South winds 5 to 7 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs in
the lower 60s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...NR
Requested by...William Geer
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525022.0/STO
.DELDT 11/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL william.geer@parks.ca.gov,ben.jacobs@parks.ca.gov,richard.rappaport@parks.ca.gov