Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Sacramento, CA

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685
FNUS76 KSTO 161042
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for Skyline...USFS
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
242 AM PST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 PST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread rain is expected during the day today, heaviest in
the morning, with forecast rain totals of 1.25 to 2.00 inches
from daybreak through late afternoon. Rain showers continue into
Monday, strongest in the morning and diminishing in intensity
through the day. Storm totals over 48 hours ending 4 am PST
Tuesday of 2.00 to 4.00 inches are forecast, with a 65%
probability of 2 inches or more. Gusty southerly winds are
expected as the storm system passes through, with gusts up to 22
mph possible through the day Sunday. Lighter winds Monday,
shifting to the north by the afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers through the day. Patchy
                    fog late in the morning.
Max temperature.....49-54.
Min humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........South 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
CWR.................75 percent increasing to 95 percent in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.

TIME (PST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............75     75     89     89     89     95
Chc of thdr (%).0      0      0      0      7      7
Temp............50     48     49     49     50     49
RH..............100    99     100    100    98     100
SL/VL wind......S 6    S 9    S 10   S 10   S 10   S 9
SL/VL wind gust.12     17     20     20     22     20
Ridgetop wind...S 10   S 13   S 14   S 14   S 15   S 15
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1000   1300   1300   1100   1300
Transport wind..S 10   S 13   S 14   S 14   S 15   S 15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers.
Min temperature.....42-47.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......South winds 5 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph in
                    the evening.
 Ridgetop...........South 13 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 17 mph.
CWR.................97 percent decreasing to 81 percent after 3 am.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.

TIME (PST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
CWR.............97     97     97     97     97     81
Chc of thdr (%).9      9      9      9      7      7
Temp............50     49     49     49     48     47
RH..............99     100    100    99     100    100
SL/VL wind......S 12   S 13   S 12   S 10   SE 8   SE 6
SL/VL wind gust.23     24     22     18     14     12
Ridgetop wind...S 15   S 16   S 17   S 17   S 15   S 13
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   800    900    900    1000   1000
Transport wind..S 15   S 16   S 17   S 17   S 15   S 13

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly sunny. Rain showers
                    early in the morning, then rain showers likely
                    in the late morning and early afternoon. Chance
                    of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....45-49.
Min humidity........96-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the morning
                    shifting to the north, then shifting to the
                    west up to 5 mph early in the afternoon
                    becoming light.
 Ridgetop...........South 6 to 13 mph shifting to the west around 5
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 13 mph decreasing to 6 to 9 mph in
                    the morning and early afternoon, then shifting
                    to the west around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
CWR.................81 percent decreasing to 7 percent.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.

TIME (PST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY    CLOUDY    MCLDY     MCLDY
CWR.............81        81        38        38
Chc of thdr (%).5         5         9         9
Temp............46        45        46        46
RH..............98        99        100       99
SL/VL wind......SE 6G12   E 6G10    N 6G9     W 5G9
Ridgetop wind...S 13      S 9       S 8       SW 6
Mix hgt (ft)....1000      1400      1100      1600
Transport wind..S 13      S 9       S 8       SW 6

$$
Forecaster...SP
Requested by...Jon Howry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525893.2/STO
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jonathon.howry@usda.gov