Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
437
FNUS72 KTAE 301752
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for 290 Training...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
152 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 EDT on September 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
East winds around 5 to 7 mph and occasional gusts of around 10 mph
will prevail at the burn site this afternoon with partly cloudy
skies. A few isolated showers are possible after 1500 with
chances around 20 to 30% between 1500-1800 before chances reduce
overnight. A brief thunderstorm is possible in this window as
well, but chances remain very low and less then 5%. For tonight
light east winds remain with no precipitation forecast. Patchy fog
is possible in sheltered locations but winds should remain
elevated enough to keep fog chances low.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms after 1500.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent late in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light east winds around 5 mph. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near any thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 28 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25 22 22 22
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 20 20 20
Temp............87 88 87 88
RH..............55 54 57 57
20 FT wind dir..E E SE E
20 FT wind spd..5 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.10 10 11 10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.8 5.4 4.4 3.3
Transp wind dir.E E SE SE
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 7
Dispersion......44 42 40 28
LVORI...........1 1 1 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South and southeast around 6 mph shifting to
east around 8 mph in the late evening and
overnight.
LVORI...............7 to 8.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16 16 16 21 21 21 11 11 11 19 19 19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............86 83 81 76 75 73 73 72 71 71 70 70
RH..............61 70 72 82 84 90 90 93 93 93 97 93
20 FT wind dir..SE S SE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..3 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.9 7 6 6 8 10 10 10 12 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.6 6 5 6 7 9 9 9 8 8 8 8
Dispersion......18 9 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........2 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 8 7
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
the late morning and early afternoon, then
becoming light late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph shifting to the south
around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
increasing to 38 late in the morning increasing
to 41 early in the afternoon decreasing to 27.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35 35 35 31 31 31 20 20 20 34 34 34
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30 30 30
Temp............69 69 70 73 79 82 85 88 88 89 89 88
RH..............97 97 97 93 79 72 65 57 57 54 56 59
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E SE SE SE SE S
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 5 6 5 5 5 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.10 10 12 12 12 13 12 12 10 10 10 9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.8 3.8 4.7 5.1 4.8 4.0 3.1
Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 6
Dispersion......4 4 9 13 23 33 42 44 43 37 30 23
LVORI...........8 8 6 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 2
$$
Forecaster...Dobbs
Requested by...John McClellan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622847.0/TAE
.DELDT 09/30/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sarah.tompkins@fdacs.gov