455
FNUS72 KTAE 150817
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Grade 6 fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
317 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EST on November 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Light and variable winds expected for the early morning but with
daytime heating, and surface high pressure moving east of the
area, expect southerly flow to increase slowly through the day.
This southerly flow should allow higher humidities compared to
Friday with minimum relative humidity bottoming out around 45%.
Winds will generally be around 5 to 8 mph at their highest with
occasional gusts of 10 to 15 mph possible, especially after 2pm.
Despite higher surface winds, light winds aloft will keep
dispersions on the low side this afternoon. For tonight, fog
chances will be higher than what we`ve observed the last two
nights and patchy fog is possible, especially from 2-8am Sunday
morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 3 to 9 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 25 in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0   1   1   1   2   2   2   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  58  67  72  74  75  76  76  75  72
RH..............89  77  63  53  50  48  46  46  50  55
20 FT wind dir..E   E   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   9   12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.4 3.0 2.6 2.3 1.6
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   9
Dispersion......3   10  10  10  25  25  25  25  25  25
LVORI...........6   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....8.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   4   4   3   3   3   6   6   6   13  13  13
Weather cov.....                                PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....                                FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............68  64  62  61  60  59  58  57  56  56  55  55
RH..............65  75  78  81  81  83  87  86  90  90  93  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   9   9   9
Dispersion......12  12  12  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........2   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 65 early in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........24  24  24  15  15  15  16  16  16  28  28  28
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  54  58  64  68  72  74  76  77  78  77  75
RH..............93  96  93  81  78  68  64  60  58  56  56  60
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   10  12  13  14  14  14  14  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.7 3.3 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 2.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   10  13  15  16  16  15  14  13  12  12
Dispersion......13  13  13  50  50  50  65  65  65  53  53  53
LVORI...........7   6   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

$$
Forecaster...Dobbs
Requested by...James B Winter
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525982.0/TAE
.DELDT 11/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james_winter@fws.gov,barton_rye@fws.gov