943
FNUS72 KTAE 181908
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Breakfast Point Rx Burn...Bay Co. Sheriffs Office
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
208 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 EST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...A southerly seabreeze is ongoing early this
afternoon, and this will continue with little change through
sunset. The seabreeze will bring increasingly moist air with
higher humidity across the burn through the afternoon. After
sunset, the southerly wind will weaken, turning around to a weak
offshore landbreeze after about 3 am CST on Wednesday morning. A
stable air mass will lead to poor dispersion, meaning smoke will
have a tough time lifting far off the ground. Patchy fog is likely
around sunrise on Wednesday morning, so there is a medium to high
chance of near- zero visibility superfog.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EST)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0
Temp............75  74  74  73
RH..............48  51  55  59
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.5 1.4 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8
Dispersion......15  14  14  14
LVORI...........2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   8   8   11  11  11  13  13  13  17  17  17
Weather cov.....                                    PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....                                    FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  67  66  65  65  64  63  63  63  63  61  61
RH..............70  78  81  87  87  90  93  90  90  93  97  97
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   6   7   6   6   5   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   3
Dispersion......8   8   8   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........36  36  36  32  32  32  21  21  21  12  12  12
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  59  61  65  68  73  74  75  76  75  74  74
RH..............96  100 97  90  84  73  69  69  66  69  71  71
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   8   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.9
Transp wind dir.N   NE  N   N   N   N   NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   7
Dispersion......4   4   4   5   5   5   11  11  11  11  11  11
LVORI...........8   7   8   7   6   4   4   3   3   3   3   4

$$
Forecaster...Haner
Requested by...J Wilburn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526310.0/TAE
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jwilburn@baycountyfl.gov