Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
307
FNUS72 KTAE 160920
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for Rx Fire piles...State of Florida park service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
520 AM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on October 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry and warm again today and for the next couple days.
Dispersions are expected to be low today at the burn site.
Afternoon humidities will fall to around 55%. Light northeast
winds clock around to being out of the east by the late morning,
then out of the southwest in the afternoon as the sea breeze moves
onshore.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east
around 5 mph early in the afternoon, then
shifting to the southwest 5 to 8 mph in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....11 increasing to 16 late in the afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............64 68 73 77 80 81 82 82 82 81
RH..............93 84 73 67 60 60 58 61 58 63
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE E S SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 7 7
20 FT wind gust.9 9 8 7 6 7 9 10 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.4
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE E E S S SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8
Dispersion......6 7 7 7 15 15 15 16 16 16
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
becoming light, then becoming east around 5 mph
after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east 6 to
8 mph overnight.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 4 in the late evening and
overnight.
TIME (CDT) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............80 79 76 75 73 73 72 71 71 70 69 68
RH..............65 67 76 76 81 81 81 81 81 84 87 87
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW S S S SE E E E E
20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5
20 FT wind gust.12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.0 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW S S S SE E E E E
Transp wind spd.8 8 7 7 6 6 5 6 6 7 7 8
Dispersion......14 14 14 4 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 5
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
8 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 12 mph shifting to the south 10
to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....12 increasing to 30 in the late morning and
afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........2 2 2 6 6 6 14 14 14 11 11 11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............68 67 67 71 74 77 78 79 81 81 81 81
RH..............84 87 87 81 76 71 69 64 60 60 60 60
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8
20 FT wind gust.13 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 16 15 15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 2.8 2.5 2.2
Transp wind dir.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
Transp wind spd.9 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10
Dispersion......12 12 12 28 28 28 32 32 32 30 30 30
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
$$
Forecaster...Oliver
Requested by...Kyle Bass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523571.2/TAE
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Kyle.bass@floridadep.gov