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839
FNUS72 KTAE 161341
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Grade 6 Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
841 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Expect a warm & dry afternoon with min RH in between 50 & 60%.
Winds pick up out of the west ahead of an approaching backdoor
front from the north during peak heating hours this afternoon.
Dispersions approach 75 in response.

For Monday, the site is looking at another round of morning fog
before burning off around 9AM EST. The main concern on Monday
afternoon will be min RH around 30% thanks to a reinforced shot of
dry air from the aforementioned front. Light northeast winds also
usher low dispersions until roughly after 2PM EST.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon with gusts around
                    15 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 16 mph.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  13  13  13  8   8   8   34  34  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  64  69  73  76  78  79  79  78  76
RH..............100 87  78  71  64  58  56  56  56  62
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.9   10  13  14  15  16  16  15  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.4 4.1 3.7 3.3 3.0 2.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  14  16  16  16  15  14  13  12  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog
                    overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 mph shifting to the north around 9
                    mph early in the morning.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56  56  56  46  46  46  43  43  43  11  11  11
Weather cov.....                        PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....                        FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  70  68  67  65  65  63  63  62  61  60  59
RH..............68  73  81  81  87  87  93  93  93  97  93  90
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  12  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  10  10  10  9   8   9   9   9   9

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   4   4   4   8   8   8   17  17  17
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............58  57  59  63  68  72  75  77  78  78  77  74
RH..............87  86  75  62  49  41  34  32  31  31  31  35
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   7   7   7

$$
Forecaster...DVD
Requested by...James Winter
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526018.0/TAE
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL barton_rye@fws.gov,james_winter@fws.gov