161
FNUS72 KTAE 281132
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for MillCreek South 20...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
732 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on August 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Today, patchy fog is possible this morning followed by a chance of
afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Weak easterly transport winds
and modest mixing heights will maintain low dispersions throughout
the day. Dry weather is expected tonight. Similar conditions Friday
with a lower potential for morning fog and continued low dispersions.
Erratic and gusty winds possible near any thunderstorms that develop.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 20 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22  37  37  37  60  60  60  52  52  52
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............72  76  80  84  86  88  89  90  89  88
RH..............97  90  82  74  68  63  59  58  61  61
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  9   8   7   8   8   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.7 4.3 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   5   5   3   5   3   5   5
Dispersion......7   19  19  19  20  20  20  20  20  20
LVORI...........6   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
CWR.................40 percent decreasing to 10 percent in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....15 decreasing to 4 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56  56  56  56  56  56  34  34  34  32  32  32
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............40  40  40  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............87  84  80  79  77  76  75  74  73  73  72  72
RH..............63  67  77  77  82  85  84  90  90  90  93  93
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   10  9   9   9   10  10  9   9   9   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 1.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   9   9   9   8   7   7   6   6
Dispersion......15  15  15  4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
LVORI...........2   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 50 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 22 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  50  50  60  60  60  72  72  72  73  73  73
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50  50  50
Temp............71  71  72  74  78  80  81  83  84  84  84  84
RH..............93  93  93  97  88  82  79  72  70  70  70  70
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  N
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5
Dispersion......6   6   6   21  21  21  23  23  23  21  21  21
LVORI...........6   6   6   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...LF
Requested by...Brian Steele
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520885.0/TAE
.DELDT 08/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRIAN.STEELE@FDACS.GOV