Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
481
FNUS72 KTAE 160831
FWSTAE
Spot Forecast for Grade 6 Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
331 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EST on November 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Patchy to areas of fog are forecast from ignition time until
about 9AM EST Sunday. By then, dispersions should also rise above
20. Expect a warm & dry afternoon with min RH in between 50 & 60%.
Winds pick up out of the west ahead of an approaching backdoor
front from the north during peak heating hrs. Dispersions approach
75 in response.
For tomorrow, the site is looking at another round of morning fog
before burning off around 9AM EST. The main concern on Monday
afternoon will be min RH around 30% thanks to a reinforced shot of
dry air from the aforementioned front. Light northeast winds also
usher low dispersions until roughly after 2PM EST.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 16 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 52 late in the morning, then
increasing to 66 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 51 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20 20 13 13 13 8 8 8 34 34 34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............53 55 64 69 73 76 78 79 79 78 76
RH..............100 100 87 78 71 64 58 56 56 56 62
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.8 9 10 13 14 15 16 16 15 15 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.4 4.1 3.7 3.3 3.0 2.1
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.9 12 14 16 16 16 15 14 13 12 10
Dispersion......14 14 52 52 52 66 66 66 51 51 51
LVORI...........7 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 2
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog
overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 10 mph shifting to the north around 9
mph early in the morning.
LVORI...............6.
Dispersion index....17 decreasing to 5 in the late evening and
overnight.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56 56 56 46 46 46 43 43 43 11 11 11
Weather cov..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............73 70 68 67 65 65 63 63 62 61 60 59
RH..............68 73 81 81 87 87 93 93 93 97 93 90
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W NW NW N N N
20 FT wind spd..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.14 14 13 12 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W NW NW N N N
Transp wind spd.10 9 10 10 10 10 9 8 9 9 9 9
Dispersion......17 17 17 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 6
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy fog early in the
morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 23 in the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3 3 3 4 4 4 8 8 8 17 17 17
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............58 57 59 63 68 72 75 77 78 78 77 74
RH..............87 86 75 62 49 41 34 32 31 31 31 35
20 FT wind dir..N N N NE NE NE NE N N N N N
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7
Dispersion......10 10 10 17 17 17 21 21 21 25 25 25
LVORI...........6 5 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
$$
Forecaster...Gonzalez
Requested by...Bart Rye
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2526016.0/TAE
.DELDT 11/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL barton_rye@fws.gov