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FNUS72 KTAE 041211
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Rx Fire...State of Florida park service
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
811 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on September 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Northeast winds this morning and Friday morning around 5 mph will
shift to the south around Noontime today and Friday and increase to
around 10 mph, shifting to the southwest during the early afternoon
today and Friday and remain around 10 mph. Weak transport winds less
than 10 mph and mixing heights topping out around 2,500 to 3,000
feet will maintain poor dispersions throughout the day and again
throughout the day on Friday. Otherwise, mostly sunny and dry
weather today and Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the east
                    around 5 mph early in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the south 5 to 7 mph late in the
                    afternoon shifting to the southwest around 7
                    mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 18 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........4   5   5   5   10  10  10  8   8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  75  78  82  84  84  84  84  84  84
RH..............97  87  82  69  67  65  65  65  63  65
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.8   7   6   6   6   7   8   8   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.1 1.8 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7
Dispersion......6   14  14  14  16  16  16  20  20  20
LVORI...........6   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest
                    5 to 6 mph after 3 am.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....18 decreasing to 3 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (CDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   2   2   6   6   6   6   6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............83  82  80  78  76  76  75  74  74  73  72  72
RH..............67  69  77  82  85  87  87  90  93  93  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5
Dispersion......18  18  18  3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   3   4   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the east around
                    5 mph late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    south 6 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 23 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   2   2   2   5   5   5   11  11  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............71  70  72  77  81  84  86  87  88  88  88  87
RH..............100 100 97  85  74  67  63  61  59  59  61  63
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.5 2.2 1.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  E   E   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   7   8   9
Dispersion......6   6   6   14  14  14  22  22  22  24  24  24
LVORI...........8   8   6   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...LF
Requested by...Kyle Bass
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2521307.0/TAE
.DELDT 09/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Kyle.bass@floridadep.gov