180
FNUS72 KTAE 041516
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for AFC Fire Academy Session 1...Alabama Forestry Commission
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1016 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on November 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Fair dispersions are expected this afternoon. Southerly transport
winds of 15 mph are likely. Showers and thunderstorms will be
moving over the region throughout the day today, with erratic
gusty winds possible in or around any of the stronger
thunderstorms. It`ll be muggy with temperatures reaching the low
80s this afternoon. Winds will decrease to near calm overnight,
with poor dispersions heading into Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Showers likely
                    early in the morning, then chance of showers in
                    the late morning and early afternoon. Slight
                    chance of showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................60 percent decreasing to 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
LVORI...............6.
Dispersion index....26 late in the morning, then increasing to 35
late in the afternoon decreasing to 23 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  63  63  63  39  39  39
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............40  30  30  30  20  20  20
Temp............75  77  78  79  80  79  77
RH..............90  85  85  79  77  79  85
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   7   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  14  14  14  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 1.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  14  14  13  13  12  10
Dispersion......29  29  32  37  38  34  23
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 9 mph.
LVORI...............7.
Dispersion index....9 decreasing to 2 early in the evening.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31  31  31  19  19  19  23  23  23  39  39  39
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............75  72  70  70  69  69  69  68  68  68  67  67
RH..............87  97  100 100 100 100 97  100 97  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.12  10  10  8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   3   3
Dispersion......13  4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1
LVORI...........4   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the late morning and early
                    afternoon. Chance of showers late in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............7.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 18 late in the morning.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........50  50  50  49  49  49  49  49  49  48  48  48
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  40  40  40
Temp............66  66  68  71  73  75  77  78  79  80  79  77
RH..............100 100 97  93  90  87  82  79  74  72  74  79
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   7   7   7   8   9   9   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion......1   2   2   5   9   14  17  22  21  20  19  14
LVORI...........10  10  10  6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   4

$$
Forecaster...Montgomery
Requested by...Ethan Barrett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2625205.0/TAE
.DELDT 11/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ethan.Barrett@forestry.alabama.gov