Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
364 FXUS62 KTBW 040012 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 712 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Cooler and drier through Thursday then temperatures warm up into the weekend. - The next rain chances for the area will arrive during the weekend. - Cooler temperatures and rain free conditions return early next week. && .UPDATE... Issued at 712 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025 Light northwest flow has been advecting a cooler and slightly drier airmass into west central and southwest Florida today, with dew points gradually dropping into the 50s across the northern and central portions of the forecast area. As this airmass continues to advance south, southwest Florida is expected to see these lower dew points reach them during the overnight hours as well. Otherwise, rain free conditions will hold under mostly sunny skies. The forecast looks on track for the overnight period, with temperatures expected to drop into the 40s over the Nature Coast by Thursday morning, and 50s to around 60 over the rest of west central and southwest Florida. No forecast changes are planned for the evening update. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 712 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025 VFR and rain free conditions are expected to hold through the next 24 hours. && .MARINE... Issued at 1252 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025 Northeast winds tonight become easterly by tomorrow afternoon, with no headlines expected. Winds then turn southerly Friday into the weekend with benign conditions continuing, though rain chances will increase across the waters for Saturday and Sunday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1252 PM EST Wed Dec 3 2025 No fire weather concerns as relative humidity values will remain above critical levels. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 57 80 63 81 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 60 83 64 84 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 55 79 60 84 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 55 79 62 80 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 47 79 55 83 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 60 77 65 79 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION...Fleming MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Carlisle