302
FXUS62 KTBW 031353
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
953 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 952 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

A rather mild start to the day with temperatures currently in the
upper 70s to low 80s. Today will be the "coolest" day of the
upcoming period with afternoon highs topping out in the upper 80s to
lower 90s which is right around average for this time of year. The
high pressure will continue to dominate the weather pattern for the
next several days as our temperatures will continue to climb back
into record territory. The morning sounding showed 1.74 inch of PWs
which continues the upward trend of moisture in the region. That
moisture will bode well for rain and thunderstorm chances along the
sea breeze later this afternoon. POPs for today reach into the 50-60
percent range. Hopefully some of us can get some decent rainfall for
our parched gardens.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 734 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

VFR conditions this morning with light easterly flow expected. Winds
will turn onshore this afternoon and increase slightly.
Thunderstorms are expected with the sea breeze this afternoon,
generally after 20Z and should begin shifting out of the area by
01Z. Light easterly winds are expected overnight once again.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  92  75  95  77 /  60  60  50  30
FMY  92  73  94  75 /  70  60  60  40
GIF  92  71  95  73 /  60  30  50  10
SRQ  92  73  95  75 /  60  60  50  40
BKV  92  67  96  69 /  60  40  50  20
SPG  91  78  93  80 /  60  60  50  40

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 6
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...ADavis
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Flannery