Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
668 FXUS62 KTBW 210529 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1229 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - Patchy late night and early morning fog each day. - Sunny and dry with temperatures running several degrees above normal through early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1210 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025 Relatively benign conditions will persist across west central and southwest Florida through the forecast period. High pressure surface and aloft will hold over the region today and Saturday. Clear skies and light winds will allow patchy late night/early morning fog to develop for the next several nights. The most likely area for fog will be across the nature coast and interior. The fog will lift a few hours after sunrise. A weak dry frontal boundary will sink south across the region on Sunday but will only act to shift winds to the north and northwest. Surface high pressure will build back over the area early next week with winds veering to the east and southeast. Temperatures will continue to run several degrees above normal each day. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1210 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025 Predominately VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours at all terminals. Patchy fog early this morning may impact terminals for a few hours, with the best chance at LAL and PGD. && .MARINE... Issued at 1210 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025 High pressure will hold over the waters through Saturday. A weak cold front will sink south across the waters on Sunday with winds becoming north to northwest. High pressure will build back over the waters early next week. The gradient will remain relatively weak across the waters with winds remaining below cautionary levels through the period. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1210 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025 No fire weather hazards are expected as sufficient moisture will keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values above critical levels. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 85 64 83 66 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 85 63 83 63 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 85 61 85 63 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 82 62 81 64 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 85 54 83 59 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 81 65 80 68 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Oglesby DECISION SUPPORT...Oglesby UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby