Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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668
FXUS62 KTBW 210529
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1229 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Patchy late night and early morning fog each day.

- Sunny and dry with temperatures running several degrees above
  normal through early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1210 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Relatively benign conditions will persist across west central and
southwest Florida through the forecast period. High pressure
surface and aloft will hold over the region today and Saturday.
Clear skies and light winds will allow patchy late night/early
morning fog to develop for the next several nights. The most
likely area for fog will be across the nature coast and interior.
The fog will lift a few hours after sunrise.

A weak dry frontal boundary will sink south across the region on
Sunday but will only act to shift winds to the north and
northwest. Surface high pressure will build back over the area
early next week with winds veering to the east and southeast.
Temperatures will continue to run several degrees above normal
each day.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
Predominately VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours at
all terminals. Patchy fog early this morning may impact terminals
for a few hours, with the best chance at LAL and PGD.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1210 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
High pressure will hold over the waters through Saturday.  A weak
cold front will sink south across the waters on Sunday with winds
becoming north to northwest. High pressure will build back over
the waters early next week. The gradient will remain relatively
weak across the waters with winds remaining below cautionary
levels through the period.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1210 AM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
No fire weather hazards are expected as sufficient moisture will
keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values above critical
levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  85  64  83  66 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  85  63  83  63 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  85  61  85  63 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  82  62  81  64 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  85  54  83  59 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  81  65  80  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Oglesby
DECISION SUPPORT...Oglesby
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby