Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
880 FXUS62 KTBW 181810 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 110 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - Patchy late night and early morning fog each day. - Sunny and dry with temperatures near to a few degrees above normal through early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 110 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025 Surface high pressure over the Mid-Atlantic States this afternoon will drift east out into the Atlantic Ocean over the next few days, but continue to ridge west across the Florida peninsula into this weekend. Late in the weekend a weakening cold front will settle into north Florida and washout early next week with another area of high pressure building in from the north with a repeat of this week. Therefore, over the next week we will continue to see fair dry weather with the only potential issue being some late night and early morning fog each day. Daytime high temperatures will remain near to a few degrees above normal in the lower to mid 80s, except mid to upper 70s along the coast where an afternoon sea breeze is expected each day. Overnight lows will continue near normal in the 50s to lower 60s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 110 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through early tonight, then some patchy fog is expected over inland areas late tonight into early Wednesday morning which could cause some IFR/local LIFR conditions. East winds around 5 knots will turn onshore at TPA, PIE, and SRQ this afternoon as the sea breeze moves inland, then become light and variable during this evening. && .MARINE... Issued at 110 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025 High pressure will settle across the waters into the weekend, keeping rain free conditions in place. Winds and seas will remain well below headline criteria. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 110 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025 High pressure over the Mid-Atlantic States will drift east out into the Atlantic Ocean over the next few days, but continue to ridge west across the Florida peninsula. This will continue the fair dry weather with light easterly flow becoming onshore near the coast each afternoon as the sea breeze develops. Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 63 84 63 84 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 62 85 63 85 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 60 85 60 85 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 62 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 53 84 51 84 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 65 81 65 81 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ Close