Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
323 FXUS62 KTBW 121818 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 118 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - Rain-free conditions and gradually warming temperatures expected remainder of the week and into the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 115 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025 After seeing record breaking cold temperatures over the past 36 hours we are finally starting to see a warming trend this afternoon. Highs today look to be topping out right around 70 degrees. Overall, our weather pattern will be pretty stagnate over the next 7 days. On the synoptic scale high pressure will remain overhead through Saturday before drifting off into the Atlantic for Sunday and the early part of next week. This will result in dry conditions and a slow but steady warming trend through the period. Highs will return to the 80`s by Saturday however the drier air will still allow the temperatures to drop into the 50`s overnight. By early next week lows will be back into the 60`s with highs back into the mid 80`s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 115 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025 VRF conditions will remain through the period with winds staying at or below 10 knots. && .MARINE... Issued at 115 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025 High pressure will remain overhead through Saturday. This will keep keep winds around 5 to 10 knots out of the north and northeast. By Sunday the high starts to drift off into the Atlantic. As it does so winds will shift more westerly but remain only around 5 to 10 knots. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 115 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025 After a very dry start to our work week RHs will be slowly on the rise for later half of the week and into the weekend. Critical RHs will still be possible in SW Florida for Thursday but winds once again will stay very light. After that we will see min RHs in the 40`s and 50`s for Friday and through the weekend with no rain expected. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 50 76 55 79 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 52 78 54 81 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 46 76 51 79 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 50 76 53 79 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 40 75 45 78 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 55 73 60 76 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Shiveley DECISION SUPPORT...Davis UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Davis