663
FXUS62 KTBW 030004
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
804 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 802 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Drier air on the west side of a weak area of low pressure east of
Florida has helped limit shower and storm activity through the day.
Latest radar imagery is showing a few pop up showers over the area,
but this will likely taper off after sunset with mostly rain-free
conditions expected overnight. Made some slight tweaks to the POPs
based on latest radar trends, otherwise forecast looks good.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 802 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

VFR conditions and light winds less than 10 knots expected through
the period. Rain and storm chances remain on the lower side on
Wednesday, so will cover this with VCTS after 19Z for all
terminals.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 802 PM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

A stationary frontal boundary remains stretched across the south and
central gulf waters. Partly to mostly cloudy skies and a chance of
showers and storms will be possible through the week. Light winds
around 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less will prevail outside
of thunderstorms through the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  90  78  91 /  20  30  20  60
FMY  76  91  76  90 /  30  50  40  90
GIF  74  91  76  92 /  20  40  10  70
SRQ  75  90  75  90 /  20  30  40  70
BKV  71  91  71  92 /  20  30  20  50
SPG  77  89  77  89 /  20  30  30  70

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 8
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 6

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT...Fleming
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Giarratana