346
FXUS62 KTBW 291819
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
119 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Small Craft Advisory is in effect until Saturday evening for hazardous
  winds and seas. Inexperienced boaters should remain out of the
  water until conditions improve.

- Warming trend expected over the weekend and into the first half
  of next week.

- The next frontal boundary moves through on Tuesday bringing the
  next chance of showers and storms to the area.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1247 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Currently, warm, breezy conditions prevail through the area. Gusty
northeast winds will begin to subside this evening. temperatures
will continue to warm over the next few days bringing the highs
back to the low to mid 80s throughout the region. Low temperatures
will also increase to the 50s and 60s. A pattern change arrives
Tuesday as another cold front passes over the area. Showers and
storms will push through ahead of the cold front Tuesday
morning into the afternoon. Highest chance of showers will be the
nature coast and north of I4. Slightly drier and cooler air will
filter in behind the front as high pressure builds back in.


&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1247 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

VFR conditions prevail with gusty, NE winds beginning to subside
later this evening.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1247 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Winds begin to decrease overnight into tomorrow however winds
remain around 10-15kts into next week. Another cold front moves
through Tuesday bringing a line of showers and storms.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1247 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

Fire weather concerns remain limited as moisture continues to
increase through the week. A cold front moves through Tuesday
bringing a line of showers and storms. RH values will drop
slightly behind the front, but will remain above critical values.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  62  83  65  83 /   0  10  10  10
FMY  63  84  65  84 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  59  82  63  82 /   0   0   0  10
SRQ  61  84  63  84 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  53  83  58  82 /   0  10  10  10
SPG  65  81  67  81 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for Charlotte
     Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita
     Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from
     Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters
     from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa
     Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20
     to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL
     out 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Pearce
DECISION SUPPORT...Carlisle