Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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020
FNUS72 KTBW 131235
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for AFP...CELM
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
735 AM EST Thu Nov 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on November 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry, high pressure will remain across the region, with no rain expected
for the next week. Some patches of shallow ground fog are possible tomorrow,
but it is likely to be less than 100 feet in depth. As moisture increases
over the weekend, the potential for fog will increase. For the next
couple days, however the dry weather and light winds will favor min
RH values close to 40 percent in the afternoon. With light winds
continuing as well, red flag criteria are not forecast to be met
at this time.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 27 in the late morning and
                    afternoon, then decreasing to 19 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........6      3      4      3      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
Temp............48     64     72     75     75
RH..............79     58     46     44     44
20 ft wind......NE 3   N 6    NE 6   NE 6   N 6
20 ft wind gust.7      9      10     10     9
Mix hgt (ft)....300    1600   3300   4100   3900
Transport wind..NE 5   N 10   N 8    NE 6   N 6
Dispersion idx..12     22     29     31     27
LVORI...........4      2      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........2      1      3      2      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............69     61     57     54     52     51
RH..............55     73     84     91     94     95
20 ft wind......N 5    N 3    N 2    NE 2   NE 2   N 2
20 ft wind gust.8      6      5      3      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....500    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..N 6    N 6    N 6    NE 7   NE 7   NE 6
Dispersion idx..10     1      3      3      2      3
LVORI...........2      3      5      6      7      7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 41 late in the morning increasing
                    to 55 early in the afternoon increasing to 60
                    decreasing to 42 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      0      1      3      4      4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............50     55     70     77     79     77
RH..............93     89     60     47     43     45
20 ft wind......NE 2   N 3    NE 6   NE 7   NE 8   NE 8
20 ft wind gust.6      7      9      10     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    2000   3800   4800   4900
Transport wind..N 6    N 9    NE 12  NE 10  NE 9   NE 10
Dispersion idx..4      13     29     45     58     58
LVORI...........6      5      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Flannery
Requested by...Nick Alfano
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525799.0/TBW
.DELDT 11/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alfanon@hillsboroughcounty.org