501
FNUS72 KTBW 021139
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for AFP 1...CELM
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
739 AM EDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on September 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure will hold over the region today.  Mostly sunny skies
this morning, increasing cloudiness this afternoon with scattered
showers and thunderstorms developing late in the day.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Scattered showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........34     32     44     56     59
Weather cov.....                     ISOLTD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     ISOLTD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     30
Temp............75     82     86     88     89
RH..............95     80     71     68     66
20 ft wind......N 7    N 8    N 8    N 8    N 9
20 ft wind gust.12     13     13     13     14
Mix hgt (ft)....800    1800   3500   4300   3700
Transport wind..N 10   N 10   N 9    N 9    N 9
Dispersion idx..12     23     36     45     43
LVORI...........5      3      3      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....28 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........68     71     64     58     49     49
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     30     20     10     0      0
Temp............86     81     79     77     76     75
RH..............72     81     83     88     91     90
20 ft wind......N 9    NE 7   NE 6   NE 6   N 5    N 3
20 ft wind gust.14     13     12     12     8      7
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   600    500    500    500    500
Transport wind..N 10   NE 12  NE 9   NE 7   NE 8   NE 7
Dispersion idx..28     8      4      5      5      3
LVORI...........3      4      4      5      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated showers
                    early in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    early in the morning. Scattered showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 21 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 39 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 26.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........46     49     47     53     61     69
Weather cov.....       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      20     20     20     50     50
Temp............75     75     82     86     88     88
RH..............93     94     80     70     65     64
20 ft wind......NE 3   NE 5   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6
20 ft wind gust.7      8      8      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....500    400    1900   3500   5100   4100
Transport wind..NE 7   NE 7   NE 7   NE 7   NE 7   NE 7
Dispersion idx..3      7      17     32     43     34
LVORI...........6      6      3      3      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Oglesby
Requested by...Nick Alfano
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2521100.0/TBW
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alfanon@hillsboroughcounty.org