658
FNUS72 KTBW 141241
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for Chass 10E...Florida Fish and Wildlife
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
841 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level trough will start to push through the state this afternoon.
This will increase shower chances starting in the afternoon hours.
Winds will be mainly out of the west and northwest around 10 mph with
gust near 15.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the morning, then
                    scattered showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    morning. Widespread showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....28 increasing to 42 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 55 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 41 late in the afternoon decreasing to 26.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........35     31     32     52     56
Weather cov.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WIDSPD WIDSPD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD WIDSPD WIDSPD
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     30     80     80
Temp............84     89     92     92     88
RH..............77     67     61     60     67
20 ft wind......NW 6   NW 8   NW 9   W 10   W 9
20 ft wind gust.10     14     15     16     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1900   2800   3100   2400   1400
Transport wind..N 14   NW 15  NW 15  NW 14  NW 14
Dispersion idx..28     53     57     45     26
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Widespread
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then scattered showers and thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 8 mph becoming light. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 7 to 13 mph shifting to the north
                    around 7 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 4 early in the evening.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........62     83     80     62     40     34
Weather cov.....WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........WIDSPD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).80     50     50     20     10     10
Temp............86     81     78     77     76     74
RH..............69     80     88     88     90     94
20 ft wind......N 8    N 5    NW 2   NW 2   N 2    N 1
20 ft wind gust.13     8      6      6      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....1300   600    500    500    500    400
Transport wind..NW 13  W 7    W 8    NW 8   N 7    N 7
Dispersion idx..17     5      3      4      3      3
LVORI...........3      4      6      6      6      6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the morning.
                    Scattered showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    morning, then widespread showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 23.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........17     31     32     37     46     55
Weather cov.....       ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD WIDSPD WIDSPD
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD WIDSPD WIDSPD
Chc of pcpn (%).10     20     20     30     90     90
Temp............74     77     85     90     91     89
RH..............97     90     73     63     60     63
20 ft wind......NE 2   NE 2   NE 3   NE 5   N 6    N 5
20 ft wind gust.5      6      6      8      10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    1700   3200   3600   2000
Transport wind..NE 5   E 7    E 5    NE 5   N 6    N 10
Dispersion idx..4      7      12     20     26     24
LVORI...........8      5      3      2      2      2

$$
Forecaster...Shiveley
Requested by...Melisa Thompson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2517962.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL melisa.thompson@myfwc.com