605
FNUS72 KTBW 291145
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for CI30...Fl Forest Service
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
745 AM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on August 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

A lingering frontal boundary will remain in the vicinity into next
week with gradually increasing rain chances and scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms developing over the weekend.
RH values are expected to remain above critical thresholds with
winds remaining light, with no significant fire weather concerns
anticipated.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
                    Scattered showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 3 mph shifting to the west 5 to 9
                    mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........52     32     47     58     60
Weather cov.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     40     40
Temp............74     82     87     89     88
RH..............99     83     71     66     68
20 ft wind......S 2    SW 2   W 3    W 6    W 6
20 ft wind gust.3      6      7      8      10
Mix hgt (ft)....300    2200   3800   4000   3500
Transport wind..S 2    SW 3   W 5    W 7    W 9
Dispersion idx..2      13     25     34     38
LVORI...........9      4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
                    then isolated showers and thunderstorms early
                    in the evening. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    north around 5 mph early in the evening, then
                    becoming light in the late evening and
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 9 mph shifting to the east 5 to
                    7 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the southeast 5 to 6 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....26 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........60     56     44     36     39     38
Weather cov.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD               ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
Tstm cov........SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD               ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).40     20     20     10     10     20
Temp............86     81     77     76     74     74
RH..............70     81     90     95     97     97
20 ft wind......NW 6   N 5    E 3    E 3    E 2    E 2
20 ft wind gust.10     9      8      7      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   500    600    600    400    400
Transport wind..NW 9   NE 7   E 6    E 5    E 6    SE 5
Dispersion idx..26     4      1      2      2      2
LVORI...........3      5      7      7      8      8

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    widespread showers and numerous thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 7 mph late in
                    the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 6 mph shifting to the west 6 to 12
                    mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 43.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........54     62     60     66     69     70
Weather cov.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WIDSPD WIDSPD
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS
Chc of pcpn (%).10     50     50     50     80     80
Temp............73     74     81     86     87     87
RH..............98     98     85     74     72     72
20 ft wind......E 2    SE 2   SW 3   W 6    W 6    W 7
20 ft wind gust.5      5      7      8      9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....400    300    1900   3000   3700   3400
Transport wind..S 5    S 5    SW 6   W 7    W 8    W 10
Dispersion idx..2      4      14     27     38     47
LVORI...........9      8      4      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Pearce
Requested by...Cody Sikes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520929.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Cody.Sikes@fdacs.gov